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October 26, 2020, 07:46:55 PM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections
  2020 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  NH-UNH: Volinsky +2 (D primary), Sununu +26 against Volinsky, +24 against Feltes
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Volinsky +2 (D primary), Sununu +26 against Volinsky, +24 against Feltes  (Read 227 times)
VARepublican
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« on: September 02, 2020, 03:03:05 PM »

Aug 28-31, 1889 LV

D primary

Volinsky 38%
Feltes 36%

R primary

Sununu 82%
Testerman 15%

Sununu vs. Volinsky

Sununu 58% (nc)
Volinsky 32% (+3)

Sununu vs. Feltes

Sununu 57% (-2)
Feltes 33% (+5)

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1604&context=survey_center_polls
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Clinton/Newsom/Straight Ticket D 2018 voter for Mike Garcia
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2020, 03:04:08 PM »

Sununu was never losing this race, he'll probably have this seat as long as he wants, the only question left to answer is whether he eventually runs for Senate (in either 2022 or 2026)

None of the gubernatorial races except MT look like they'll be close this year.
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Hardcore Sen. Peters/Daines/Cornyn/Perdue supporter
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2020, 03:04:43 PM »

Sununu was never losing this race, he'll probably have this seat as long as he wants, the only question left to answer is whether he eventually runs for Senate (in either 2022 or 2026)

He should go for it in 2022, given that it will almost certainly be a Biden midterm. Winning a federal race in a state like this isnít easy, but it should be doable with a popular incumbent governor under a Democratic trifecta.
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Clinton/Newsom/Straight Ticket D 2018 voter for Mike Garcia
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« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2020, 03:05:51 PM »

Sununu was never losing this race, he'll probably have this seat as long as he wants, the only question left to answer is whether he eventually runs for Senate (in either 2022 or 2026)

He should go for it in 2022, he has nothing to lose in a Biden midterm.

Agreed, I think he'd be favored against Hassan, who is 2022's most vulnerable Dem Senator (even if both Kelly and Warnock win). I'd probably actually start such a race at Lean R.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2020, 03:35:34 PM »

Republican primary:
703 likely voters
MoE: 3.7%

Another candidate 1%
Don't know/not sure 2%

Democratic primary:
839 likely voters
MoE: 3.4%

Another candidate 4%
Don't know/not sure22%

GE matchups:
MoE: 2.3%

V.S. Feltes:
Perry (L) 1% (n/c from "Another candidate" with 1%)
Don't know/not sure 8% (-4%)

V.S. Volinsky
Perry (L) 1% (n/c from "Another candidate" with 1%)
Don't know/not sure 7% (-5%)
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2020, 03:36:03 PM »

The Libertarian candidate in the race is a former Atlas poster.

He gets 1% and has a 1-10 favourable rating (-9 net).
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Josiah Quincy Did Nothing Wrong
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« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2020, 03:48:00 PM »

Great news!

Hopefully Volinsky holds the line. He's not going to win, but he's definitely more electable than Feltes.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #7 on: September 23, 2020, 12:41:45 PM »

New Poll: New Hampshire Governor by University of New Hampshire on 2020-09-01

Summary: D: 33%, R: 57%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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