NH-UNH: Volinsky +2 (D primary), Sununu +26 against Volinsky, +24 against Feltes

[VAR]

Aug 28-31, 1889 LV

D primary

Volinsky 38%
Feltes 36%

R primary

Sununu 82%
Testerman 15%

Sununu vs. Volinsky

Sununu 58% (nc)
Volinsky 32% (+3)

Sununu vs. Feltes

Sununu 57% (-2)
Feltes 33% (+5)

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1604&context=survey_center_polls

[S019]

Sununu was never losing this race, he'll probably have this seat as long as he wants, the only question left to answer is whether he eventually runs for Senate (in either 2022 or 2026)

None of the gubernatorial races except MT look like they'll be close this year.

[MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)]

Sununu was never losing this race, he'll probably have this seat as long as he wants, the only question left to answer is whether he eventually runs for Senate (in either 2022 or 2026)

He should go for it in 2022, given that it will almost certainly be a Biden midterm. Winning a federal race in a state like this isn’t easy, but it should be doable with a popular incumbent governor under a Democratic trifecta.

[S019]

Sununu was never losing this race, he'll probably have this seat as long as he wants, the only question left to answer is whether he eventually runs for Senate (in either 2022 or 2026)

He should go for it in 2022, he has nothing to lose in a Biden midterm.

Agreed, I think he'd be favored against Hassan, who is 2022's most vulnerable Dem Senator (even if both Kelly and Warnock win). I'd probably actually start such a race at Lean R.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Republican primary:
703 likely voters
MoE: 3.7%

Another candidate 1%
Don't know/not sure 2%

Democratic primary:
839 likely voters
MoE: 3.4%

Another candidate 4%
Don't know/not sure22%

GE matchups:
MoE: 2.3%

V.S. Feltes:
Perry (L) 1% (n/c from "Another candidate" with 1%)
Don't know/not sure 8% (-4%)

V.S. Volinsky
Perry (L) 1% (n/c from "Another candidate" with 1%)
Don't know/not sure 7% (-5%)

[Tender Branson]

The Libertarian candidate in the race is a former Atlas poster.

He gets 1% and has a 1-10 favourable rating (-9 net).

[MAGA Maggie's Masshole Mob]

Great news!

Hopefully Volinsky holds the line. He's not going to win, but he's definitely more electable than Feltes.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: New Hampshire Governor by University of New Hampshire on 2020-09-01

Summary: D: 33%, R: 57%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details