Suffolk: Biden +7
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  Suffolk: Biden +7
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Author Topic: Suffolk: Biden +7  (Read 647 times)
BobbieMac
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« on: September 02, 2020, 04:41:06 AM »

Biden 50
Trump 43

Aug 27 - 30

Biden was +9/+12 when 3rd party pushed in June; not sure what the comparable figure is here.

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/09/02/biden-leads-trump-narrower-7-points-post-conventions-suffolk-poll/3446536001/
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2020, 04:52:59 AM »

Pretty good considering it was taken in the immediate aftermath of the RNC.
Perhaps when the dust settles the result will be +9-10 like their June poll.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2020, 05:30:29 AM »

August 28-31, 2020
1000 registered voters
MoE: 3.1%

Changes seem to be with June 25-29 poll's "If only Biden and Trump were candidates" question, as this is the one for which responses gave him a 12 point lead.

Biden 50% (-3%)
Trump 43% (+2%)
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Rand
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« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2020, 05:38:07 AM »

Once again, Biden at or above 50%. Poor Strokey McPutinlover.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2020, 07:13:06 AM »

Fuller release:

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2020/9_2_2020_marginals_pdftxt.pdf

Suffolk University/USA Today

Full ballot:
Biden 47% (+1%)
Trump 42% (+4.4%)
Undecided 7% (+2.1%)
Refused 2% (+0.9%)
Jorgensen 1%
Skip voting in November 1%
Someone else 1%
Hawkins 0%

(Jorgensen + Hawkins + someone else  + skip voting in November)v.s. third party candidate: -8.4% from June

Two way ballot (eliminates  "third party candidate" in the June survey vs Hawkins, Jorgensen, "skip voting in November" and "someone else" in this one):

Biden 50% (-3.5%)
Trump 43% (+2.3%)
Undecided 4% (-0.8%)
Refused 3% (+2%)
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2020, 07:33:47 AM »

If Biden up by 7% is Trump's convention bounce, then Trump is in trouble.
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