(I don't expect China to magically become a part of that group anytime soon, & there's no way a Chinese space program beats all of those nations' combined efforts to have the 1st manned mission to Mars. Hell, even today, a manned mission to the Moon is still incredibly expensive & difficult, & I think China would have to at least do that as well as a rover landing on Mars before even thinking about a manned mission to Mars.)
CLEP already has achieved a rover on the far side of the moon, is on target for a sample return probe by 2025 and a manned lunar mission by 2030.
I think it likely that there will be a Chinese Martian mission by 2040 and almost certainly by 2050.
While the West has the technical capability of getting to Mars sooner, I just don't see the funding being there.
the funding might magically appear if the PRC starts making serious plans to do so first.
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