I still have this race as a Likely R their are a lot of undecideds who seem to lean GOP but again this is Alaska weird stuff happens their so an upset is certainly possible! this race is more likely to flip than SC and KY IMO
Well definitely KY.
But honestly, at this point, with so many polls showing a tight race in SC, it seems to be about on the same level to me. I suppose the weirdness of Alaska and less racially polarized electorate might make it a bit more likely to flip. But both races have similar polling at the moment: Close race with lots of undecideds, who we can assume probably will break for the R in the end, but it's not entirely certain. Especially if the climate is as good for Dems as it looks like it's going to be.