CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[Oryxslayer]

New UC Berkeley poll. April 29-May 5, 10,289 RV, MoE: 2%

First question
49% Remain in office
36% Recall
15% Undecided

Second question
22% John Cox
22% Kevin Faulconer
14% Doug Ose
6% Caitlyn Jenner

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-05-11/opposition-grows-gavin-newsom-recall-poll

Lol

As I noted a few weeks ago, Democratic Rep. Karen Bass said on ABC's This Week that Republicans weren't going to vote for Jenner because of her being transgender-which is what many have also said on here. And now, we have polling data revealing the truth of this. Jenner's attempts to move to the right and to cater to conservative Republicans by adopting the Party line on transgender rights and engaging in attacks against "socialism" and the like clearly aren't helping her.

Jenner finds herself in a similar position to that of former Senator Flake, despite them being entirely from different alignments. Her identity is too liberal for republicans, but her policies are way too conservative for Dem-adjacent. Which leaves people like me suspecting she is just a modern version of the 120-ish candidates from 2003 whose main goal was publicity and media attention.

[wbrocks67]

Jenner is a hot mess.

https://twitter.com/secupp/status/1392434616791863298

[Skunk]

She obviously voted for Trump and doesn't want to say it because egotistical maniacs tend to support other egotistical maniacs.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

New UC Berkeley poll. April 29-May 5, 10,289 RV, MoE: 2%

First question
49% Remain in office
36% Recall
15% Undecided

Second question
22% John Cox
22% Kevin Faulconer
14% Doug Ose
6% Caitlyn Jenner

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-05-11/opposition-grows-gavin-newsom-recall-poll

Lol

As I noted a few weeks ago, Democratic Rep. Karen Bass said on ABC's This Week that Republicans weren't going to vote for Jenner because of her being transgender-which is what many have also said on here. And now, we have polling data revealing the truth of this. Jenner's attempts to move to the right and to cater to conservative Republicans by adopting the Party line on transgender rights and engaging in attacks against "socialism" and the like clearly aren't helping her.

Yep.

According to the poll, only 13% of Republicans are inclined to support her, while 62% are not. Faulconer, Cox, and Ose, on the other hand, all poll above water with Republicans on that question.

Either she's completely out of her mind and actually thinks she has a chance, or this is just a major publicity stunt. I'm guessing it's a mix of both.

[Calthrina950]

New UC Berkeley poll. April 29-May 5, 10,289 RV, MoE: 2%

First question
49% Remain in office
36% Recall
15% Undecided

Second question
22% John Cox
22% Kevin Faulconer
14% Doug Ose
6% Caitlyn Jenner

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-05-11/opposition-grows-gavin-newsom-recall-poll

Lol

As I noted a few weeks ago, Democratic Rep. Karen Bass said on ABC's This Week that Republicans weren't going to vote for Jenner because of her being transgender-which is what many have also said on here. And now, we have polling data revealing the truth of this. Jenner's attempts to move to the right and to cater to conservative Republicans by adopting the Party line on transgender rights and engaging in attacks against "socialism" and the like clearly aren't helping her.

Yep.

According to the poll, only 13% of Republicans are inclined to support her, while 62% are not. Faulconer, Cox, and Ose, on the other hand, all poll above water with Republicans on that question.

Either she's completely out of her mind and actually thinks she has a chance, or this is just a major publicity stunt. I'm guessing it's a mix of both.

I agree with you, although I think Jenner is more motivated by the publicity than anything else. She probably knows that there is very little realistic chance of her winning this recall-especially since it seems like it is doomed to fail on the first question in any case. And I have decried the influence which trashy celebrities-such as the Kardashian family, of which she is a member-have had upon our culture and our politics. Jenner's transgender identity is a major turnoff to the Republican base, and as Oryxslayer noted above, her political views are repulsive to most Democrats and progressives. The LGBT community, in particular, has always had a negative view of Jenner, who they see as betraying them through her stances on these kinds of issues-as her recent about face regarding transgender sports demonstrates.

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

lolwut

https://twitter.com/OANN/status/1392856219153354753

[Tartarus Sauce]

lolwut

https://twitter.com/OANN/status/1392856219153354753

This is why Trump acolytes have mush for brains. Their media sources push fake garbage like this and they end up thinking it’s actually representative of the popular will because it aligns with their preferences.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

lolwut

https://twitter.com/OANN/status/1392856219153354753

Is she even a resident of California? Did I miss a chapter where she moved after leaving congress, or is this just OANN having some weird fascination for her?

[Oryxslayer]

lolwut

https://twitter.com/OANN/status/1392856219153354753

It's a Twitter poll, aka fake news. But it's the type of thing that echoes around that corner of the web.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Am I the only one baffled by how much press Jenner is getting? I’ve gotten like three alerts about her from CNN this week

[Хahar 🤔]

Am I the only one baffled by how much press Jenner is getting? I’ve gotten like three alerts about her from CNN this week

The "campaign" is designed solely for the benefit of the national media; press statements regularly get sent out when only people in the East are awake, and California media then covers things that real candidates are doing instead. It's not surprising that the national media would gravitate to a celebrity joke campaign.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Am I the only one baffled by how much press Jenner is getting? I’ve gotten like three alerts about her from CNN this week

The "campaign" is designed solely for the benefit of the national media; press statements regularly get sent out when only people in the East are awake, and California media then covers things that real candidates are doing instead. It's not surprising that the national media would gravitate to a celebrity joke campaign.

Basically lining herself up for a tv show or a 2024 “campaign” shudders

[Pink Panther]

lolwut

https://twitter.com/OANN/status/1392856219153354753

Are they a troll network, now?(unironicly)

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1392882220470206465

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1392882220470206465

Despite my intention to vote no in the recall, I’ll still be voting in the contingency election to hypothetically replace Newsom. Might vote for her if there’s not a legitimate liberal candidate.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Eh her candidacy/interest was known for weeks now

[H. Ross Peron]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1392882220470206465

She looks like Marion-Marechal Le Pen.

[Suburbia]

Jenner is a joke.

She gives herself a bad name.

Newsom will win the recall in October, he will win reelection in 2022 and that's that of his political career.

He is not going to be president, never.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

He is not going to be president, never.

I could've told you that before he was elected Governor

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Stock Market/Cryptocurrency Youtuber MeetKevin (Kevin Paffrath) is in.

https://www.kusi.com/meet-democrat-california-gubernatorial-candidate-kevin-paffrath/

[wbrocks67]

LOL #OOP

40% yes, recall
57% no, do not recall
3% DK

Newsom job approval: 55/35 (adults), 54/42 (LV)

His pandemic response is even higher, at 64-65% approval among adults/LV

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1397508099586633731

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just like NY, D's want to keep a bad Gov, if the Ds did recall Newsom a D can run and win in 2022

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

After the earlier discussions in this thread, it's gonna be really funny seeing Orange County vote No.

Though sad the IE is such a strong Yes bloc. Riverside I'm expecting to lean Yes, but I thought San Bernardino County changed a corner. Then again, crosstabs in one poll & all.

Ah well, nearly 5 months to go until I stop seeing every California/Newsom-related story being framed within the context of this recall. That's easily been one of my biggest annoyances with this recall.

[I’m not Stu]

Will any counties vote yes from the left?

[Gass3268]

Gonna be fun when the networks insta-call this for Newsom and the right freaks out.