NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[StateBoiler]

Probably going to be the foremost issue for the next election won't it is the budget and how to tackle?

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/new-york-mayor-furloughs-himself-staff-for-week-to-ease-pandemic-budget-gap/ar-BB196z8C?ocid=ientp

[StateBoiler]

Rose should run as a indy hed have a higher chance of winning as a indy then winning the Dem nomination imo

So there's no Independence Party or any of the fusion parties on next year other than WFP and Conservative?

[StateBoiler]

Jacobin gives their take on Andrew Yang
The important part:

...

However, the central proposal of Yang’s presidential campaign was actually a surprisingly right-wing variant of a Universal Basic Income. A 2019 Hill article noted that many longtime UBI advocates were actually against Yang’s “Freedom Dividend” plan, arguing that “Yang’s version could do more harm than good because some Americans would need to choose between accepting $1,000 a month and receiving certain public assistance benefits.” In other words, the “Freedom Dividend” plan was far from a redistribution of wealth. It was just a reshuffling of social programs — undermining existing entitlements like Medicare in order to provide $1,000 a month instead.

...

Yang has done nothing to prove that he’s actually different than Bloomberg. In fact, he’s done quite the opposite: according to Politico, Yang is “in talks with Tusk Strategies, the consulting firm that worked on Mike Bloomberg’s 2009 mayoral campaign.” CEO Bradley Tusk was Bloomberg’s campaign manager, has been a political adviser for Uber, and is a former consultant for the Police Benevolent Association, the largest NYPD union. In a mayoral race where the debate about policing will undoubtedly loom large, it’s alarming that even before announcing, Yang is unabashedly teasing an association with a pro-cop power player...

[snip]

Any thoughts?

My thoughts are that this article is a bizarre f**king read.

It's literally just a take-down piece based on nothing more than baselessly attaching Yang to policies which he's never stated that he supports.

Were you expecting a rational facts-only take from Jacobin?

[StateBoiler]

Back and forth between the city and state on using ranked choice voting software for their upcoming special election. The city was planning on doing a manual count for RCV due to the state not approving the software. An update says the state agreed last night to come up with a plan to certify tabulation software for the city.

https://gothamist.com/news/nyc-board-elections-plans-hand-count-ranked-choice-voting-results-after-impasse-state

[StateBoiler]

I assume it's because the democrats are in power in D.C and it's not exactly an easy job but I'm always surprised at how relatively weak/low-key/inexperienced the democratic benches seem to be in every primary going back what 20-30 years?

Is there a reason for that?

Nationally or just in New York City?

[StateBoiler]

New York Daily News reporting Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams has accepted thousands of dollars in travel and other perks from China, Turkey, and Azerbaijan.

https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/new-york-elections-government/ny-nyc-mayoral-race-eric-adams-china-turkey-azerbaijan-20210206-uelz6zyvzzad5p4nuhvx6woqcu-story.html?force_isolation=true

[StateBoiler]

https://twitter.com/nypost/status/1374572597820669955

The past presidential election cycle I really recognized you could capture what a paper or news org thinks about a particular candidate just from the still-shot picture they use of that person. That one on the right for example says the New York Post don't think much of that lady.

[StateBoiler]

https://twitter.com/nypost/status/1374572597820669955

The past presidential election cycle I really recognized you could capture what a paper or news org thinks about a particular candidate just from the still-shot picture they use of that person. That one on the right for example says the New York Post don't think much of that lady.

It’s hardly a new phenomenon, watch any attack ad and you’ll see the most unflattering pictures imaginable of the person they’re attacking. News does it too, especially the less repudiated like the post

Who is more repudiated at this point? This was pretty widespread practice in 2020 - Politico did it regularly - and is another feather in the cap of "we'd be better off if journalists just threw in the trash the notion they're neutral".

[StateBoiler]

https://twitter.com/GloriaPazmino/status/1382152274110210052?s=20

Speaking of demographics/electorates that are locked up behind a candidate.

Why don't they just nominate Stringer in the general election then, like any real political party would. It's not like they have to worry about the Republican winning a 3-way split.

[StateBoiler]

https://twitter.com/GloriaPazmino/status/1382152274110210052?s=20

Speaking of demographics/electorates that are locked up behind a candidate.

Why don't they just nominate Stringer in the general election then, like any real political party would. It's not like they have to worry about the Republican winning a 3-way split.

The WFP isn’t a real political party, they’re only relevant here because of fusion laws

But you don't have to worry about the Republican nominee in a current-day New York City general election, so if they disagree with the Democratic candidate of choice in the plausible event Andrew Yang wins the primary, why don't they run Stringer in the general?

[StateBoiler]

https://twitter.com/GloriaPazmino/status/1382152274110210052?s=20

Speaking of demographics/electorates that are locked up behind a candidate.

Why don't they just nominate Stringer in the general election then, like any real political party would. It's not like they have to worry about the Republican winning a 3-way split.

The WFP isn’t a real political party, they’re only relevant here because of fusion laws

But you don't have to worry about the Republican nominee in a current-day New York City general election, so if they disagree with the Democratic candidate of choice in the plausible event Andrew Yang wins the primary, why don't they run Stringer in the general?

They could, I think they've done that before. It's plausible.

They have?

They just need to grow a set of balls. I have so little respect for them following the 2018 governor election where they endorsed Cuomo - a guy they literally hated. That was such an embarassing about-face in political terms that party leaders should've resigned or been forced out. And what did they get for endorsing Cuomo? His stooges in state government literally tried to put them out of business which did not work this time but as collateral damage killed every other 3rd party in New York outside of the Conservative Party (which unlike the New York WFP have in the past showed they have a spine and will run their own guy instead of being a rubber stamp).

[StateBoiler]

https://twitter.com/patkiernan/status/1384110763883696134

The details here are pretty interesting. People's choices don't seem to be particularly driven by ideology.

Morales voters go to Wiley-Adams/Yang-McGuire/Stringer in that order, though roundoff error means it could be just a split but with a distinct preference for Stringer.
McGuire voters are  split between Adams, Stringer, and Yang.
Similarly Adams voters spit between Stringer and Yang.

That's not terribly surprising. People are still learning a lot about candidates and average voters don't differentiate the candidates to the degree that we on this site do.

Shocking.

[StateBoiler]

https://reason.com/2021/04/22/new-yorks-failed-political-class-puzzles-over-why-voters-seem-to-prefer-outsider-andrew-yang/

When government doesn't deliver, voters look for unpolished candidates from outside government. Go figure.

...

MSNBC's Joe Scarborough, too, decried Yang's lack of relevant experience.

"We've got, like, the most important mayor's race in New York City probably in the last 50 years, maybe 100 years, I don't know….[And] I mean, you and I could do a better job running New York City than Andrew Yang," the Morning Joe host told a nodding Donny Deutsch Monday. "You want that mayor to be competent, you want them to know what they're actually doing….It's one thing running for president and putting some quirky ideas out there and getting some media attention, but man, when you're running New York City, again, I'm talking competence."

I can think of other c-words when clanging along the city's busted streets, waiting for trains that never come because we're still wiping down surfaces to prevent COVID, or trying to sort through the latest turf squabble between the Democratic mayor and the Democratic governor over a pandemic that hit the five boroughs harder than anywhere else in the United States. Crime is up, population is down, school buildings are still half-closed, subways are increasingly gross (wipedowns notwithstanding), tourism is gutted, Midtown is deserted, and public-facing businesses remain subject to arbitrary restrictions. And you're talking competence?

[StateBoiler]

^ Neither of you live in NYC. I actually have to work for the city that Yang would govern and I'm not looking forward to it!

Anyways...it seems Stringer has decided that since he cannot come up with a reason for people to vote *for* him, he is hoping that Dianne Morales comes up with one.

1. Per your avatar, you're in Nunvaut, so you're misrepresenting yourself on this forum.
2. Well, you worked in a city governed by De Blasio for 8 years, how did that go?

[StateBoiler]

Stringer argues that the only reason she is coming forward was to damage his candidacy and...

https://twitter.com/GloriaPazmino/status/1388136590837534726?s=20



Adding ethnic insensitively/assumptions onto the pile wasn't smart.  

Leaving aside Stringer and his team, that is horrifically damning on NY1 and whoever was the independent corroborator at the New York City Board of Elections. I understand dealing with public figures there's a higher bar on these issues, but if the NY1 journalist or the independent corroborator at the NYC BOE knew it was Esther Yang and not Andrew Yang, that's open-and-shut libel for knowing the truth and intentionally lying about it. The only other explanation is you didn't know it was Esther instead of Andrew, which means you're incompetent for checking a simple fact, which means the NY1 journalist should be at best demoted or lose his or her job reporting on local politics.

Here's your absolute best case scenario for that journalist:

Journalist: "How you doing anonymous secret inside source? Did Jean Kim file a ballot petition for Yang?"

NYC BOE employee looks up records, sees ballot petition for Yang, Esther. Responds "yes".

[StateBoiler]

Not sure if this has been brought up, but I feel like counting will be an absolute nightmare. New York is already particularly terrible at it, and RCV adds another layer of complication.

Yeah no sh**t.

[StateBoiler]

The poll has Adams beating Yang 53-47% in the final round.

The only question that matters in these polls.





https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/nyc-mayoral-poll-adams-new-leader-in-nyc-mayor-race-as-field-remains-open

That chart has a very significant flaw. It takes the 22.7% undecided and then equally distributes them to all candidates for R1 based on their "Ballot Test" result. Should've left them out. The R9 result is really 53/47 Adams/Yang, but only among the 77.3% of the electorate that had decided, which not only means that Adams/Yang number is up in the air to a significant degree, but also among who advances on in each round, which matters heavily once you get to the final 4 because of how close the eliminated person is from that point.

[StateBoiler]

Not sure how seriously to take poor polling for Yang that for some reason includes a random Asian person with a similar last name.

Well of his 2.5%, Yang gets 2.2% of it.

[StateBoiler]

Might be better to have people think you live in Jersey than showing them the actual place you live in if it looks like this

https://twitter.com/juliakmarsh/status/1402642048197578760

EDIT: oh my...

https://twitter.com/osamabishounen/status/1402771158525628420

The apartment photos look like a rent-a-furniture thing you do when you're selling a house. That sleigh bed for example, but then it's not even up against a wall. Throw in the random art with political messaging in mind.

[StateBoiler]

a questionable BOE decision of not recognizing remote notary signatures.

https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/working-families-party-ballot/

[StateBoiler]

Dante De Blasio's vote:

https://nypost.com/2021/09/21/board-of-elections-snafu-reveals-dante-de-blasios-mayoral-election-votes/

No one is supposed to know whom Dante de Blasio, or anyone else, ranked No. 1 on their mayoral primary ballots — unless they announce it — but thanks to the bungling Board of Elections, that information has now been made public.

Mayor Bill de Blasio’s son was one of nearly 400 New Yorkers whose votes in the June Democratic primary were disclosed in publicly available data because he was the only person to cast a ballot in the election district that includes Gracie Mansion, according to a newly released report.

Dante ranked Maya Wiley first, followed by Eric Adams, Kathryn Garcia, Ray McGuire and Shaun Donovan, researchers discovered because of the Board of Elections’ privacy-protection failures.

Researchers from Princeton University and Stevens Institute of Technology documented 378 instances in which only one person in a precinct voted in the June 22 mayoral primary, meaning Board of Elections data showed precisely whom an individual voter ranked on their ballot.

[StateBoiler]

What's the best-case results for the Republicans on City Council and for the sake of it, percentages in Mayor's race?

[StateBoiler]

https://mobile.twitter.com/rojas4mayor2021/status/1452646812792283147

Wow. What a nickname. He's known by this nationally per the tweet. Was there a meeting somewhere of housing activists and at said meeting of this national housing activists, did a person rise and say with foam coming from the mouth "I make a motion that from thenceforth, Greg Russ, the Chairman of the New York City Housing Authority, be known as the Czar of Privitization."? (with long emphasis on the word czar because no one good is called a czar after all) Then after everyone in attendance wondered "who?", someone seconded said motion and a majority of said meeting of national housing activists voted affirmative?

How did he become saddled with this 7-syllable nickname and nationally known for it? I'm intrigued by this question. Did the meeting keep minutes?

[StateBoiler]

https://mobile.twitter.com/RRHElections/status/1455578274277568516

This is like the most New York City Board of Elections thing ever. GOP Mayoral candidate Curtis Sliwa's ballot got jammed in voting machine & it took them 35 minutes to fix it. They literally had to open up the machine to unjam it in order to count the 2nd page of Sliwa's ballot.

Video at link.