NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread
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Author Topic: NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread  (Read 127584 times)
PSOL
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« Reply #2375 on: November 02, 2021, 09:46:06 PM »

How did Cathy Rojas do in the Haitian neighborhoods?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2376 on: November 02, 2021, 10:11:42 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2021, 10:23:03 PM by Oryxslayer »

Serious question: do these elections still operate under the month-long counting process that haunted NY in 2020? Cause there's a good number of mayoral and commissioner races in outlying counties that are uncallible if so.

EDIT: Yes Sad change this NY

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Badger
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« Reply #2377 on: November 03, 2021, 12:31:05 AM »

Serious question: do these elections still operate under the month-long counting process that haunted NY in 2020? Cause there's a good number of mayoral and commissioner races in outlying counties that are uncallible if so.

EDIT: Yes Sad change this NY



 Wait a minute. DE blazio actually lost the upper East Side 8 years ago??!?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #2378 on: November 03, 2021, 05:46:41 AM »

Serious question: do these elections still operate under the month-long counting process that haunted NY in 2020? Cause there's a good number of mayoral and commissioner races in outlying counties that are uncallible if so.

EDIT: Yes Sad change this NY



 Wait a minute. DE blazio actually lost the upper East Side 8 years ago??!?

Yeah, but it was a mayoral election against notoriously sane Joe Lhota. And Bloomy obviously won all that territory the three previous elections. No big deal.
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Badger
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« Reply #2379 on: November 03, 2021, 07:14:58 AM »

Serious question: do these elections still operate under the month-long counting process that haunted NY in 2020? Cause there's a good number of mayoral and commissioner races in outlying counties that are uncallible if so.

EDIT: Yes Sad change this NY



 Wait a minute. DE blazio actually lost the upper East Side 8 years ago??!?

Yeah, but it was a mayoral election against notoriously sane Joe Lhota. And Bloomy obviously won all that territory the three previous elections. No big deal.

 Actually, according to Wikipedia he-s now a registered Democrat, and even endorsed Kathryn Garcia in the primary!
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2380 on: November 03, 2021, 12:46:51 PM »

Joe Lhota is a cool guy.

Anyway, it's over! I'd like to tell Alben that progressives Brad Lander and Jumaane Williams actually did better than Adams, and Adams got destroyed in Staten Island.

Curtis did more or less as good as I expected him to do.
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« Reply #2381 on: November 03, 2021, 02:30:26 PM »



Ukrainian-American Inna Verkinov, who was born in Chernivtsi, Ukraine flipped 48th District in NY City Council from Democratic to Republican
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thebeloitmoderate
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« Reply #2382 on: November 03, 2021, 02:56:47 PM »


Ukrainian-American Inna Verkinov, who was born in Chernivtsi, Ukraine flipped 48th District in NY City Council from Democratic to Republican
Just proof how Trumpy the Russian and Ukrainian parts of Brooklyn is
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2383 on: November 03, 2021, 03:42:50 PM »

I was sure at least one would flip
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2384 on: November 03, 2021, 05:40:39 PM »

Well, at least SOMEONE showed up tonight for the Dems! Maybe he's the future of the Democratic Party after all...

Can we please stop pretending that one of the most corrupt and cynical politicians in the modern Democratic party is the future of the American left because he received the backing of the entire New York political machine and managed to defeat an unknown technocrat by 1% of the vote in the Democratic primary?

The fact that this guy who was--on paper--more favored than any other candidate in the race and scraped through a primary by saying a couple correct things on policing and crime does not mean he's some political genius uniquely capable of generating a permanent majority for the Democratic party. It's NYC. Winning the general doesn't count as an accomplishment.

Corruption and cynicism win you elections these days, especially as Republicans. My new county clerk authorized Bridgegate, for f***'s sake!

Maybe he is what the Democratic Party needs.

Still it's hard to know since his election was always going to be titanium D.
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Badger
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« Reply #2385 on: November 04, 2021, 12:49:33 PM »


Ukrainian-American Inna Verkinov, who was born in Chernivtsi, Ukraine flipped 48th District in NY City Council from Democratic to Republican
Just proof how Trumpy the Russian and Ukrainian parts of Brooklyn is

 This race was actually is actually a blowout. A near 2 to 1 victory for the Republican peris the Republican. Ditto for the Republican who ran to replace Eric Ulrich.

That former hardcore band member whomember whom BRT D went all it's all nuts about because of that connectionRunning for re election is for re election to his district seat in the Red Hook neighborhood of Brooklyn is currently a couple tenths of a percent behind his Republican challenger with 95% of the vote Counted. Both sides claiming victory and waiting on vote by mail to decide if to decide the balance. My gut tells me hardcore band guy is gonna lose by a whisker.. 4 years ago, which was not a bad year for democrats, he barely won his initial election by only a couple points.
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vileplume
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« Reply #2386 on: November 04, 2021, 05:55:02 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2021, 06:03:44 PM by vileplume »


Ukrainian-American Inna Verkinov, who was born in Chernivtsi, Ukraine flipped 48th District in NY City Council from Democratic to Republican
Just proof how Trumpy the Russian and Ukrainian parts of Brooklyn is

 This race was actually is actually a blowout. A near 2 to 1 victory for the Republican peris the Republican. Ditto for the Republican who ran to replace Eric Ulrich.

That former hardcore band member whomember whom BRT D went all it's all nuts about because of that connectionRunning for re election is for re election to his district seat in the Red Hook neighborhood of Brooklyn is currently a couple tenths of a percent behind his Republican challenger with 95% of the vote Counted. Both sides claiming victory and waiting on vote by mail to decide if to decide the balance. My gut tells me hardcore band guy is gonna lose by a whisker.. 4 years ago, which was not a bad year for democrats, he barely won his initial election by only a couple points.



If you mean Justin Brannan, his council district (the 43rd) isn't based in Red Hook and Sunset Park, that's the 38th which the Dems are winning with an 80% vote share. He instead represents the more tepidly blue areas further south in Bay Ridge as well as relatively GOP friendly Dyker Heights.

Biden probably did win this council district comfortably but I suspect it's probably the kind of area where the GOP will find a fair number of persuadable voters. 
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pikachu
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« Reply #2387 on: November 05, 2021, 12:39:41 PM »

https://mobile.twitter.com/Grace4NY/status/1456284647781019652

Seems like Adams lost a lot of Asian ADs
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Badger
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« Reply #2388 on: November 05, 2021, 04:50:09 PM »


Ukrainian-American Inna Verkinov, who was born in Chernivtsi, Ukraine flipped 48th District in NY City Council from Democratic to Republican
Just proof how Trumpy the Russian and Ukrainian parts of Brooklyn is

 This race was actually is actually a blowout. A near 2 to 1 victory for the Republican peris the Republican. Ditto for the Republican who ran to replace Eric Ulrich.

That former hardcore band member whomember whom BRT D went all it's all nuts about because of that connectionRunning for re election is for re election to his district seat in the Red Hook neighborhood of Brooklyn is currently a couple tenths of a percent behind his Republican challenger with 95% of the vote Counted. Both sides claiming victory and waiting on vote by mail to decide if to decide the balance. My gut tells me hardcore band guy is gonna lose by a whisker.. 4 years ago, which was not a bad year for democrats, he barely won his initial election by only a couple points.



If you mean Justin Brannan, his council district (the 43rd) isn't based in Red Hook and Sunset Park, that's the 38th which the Dems are winning with an 80% vote share. He instead represents the more tepidly blue areas further south in Bay Ridge as well as relatively GOP friendly Dyker Heights.

Biden probably did win this council district comfortably but I suspect it's probably the kind of area where the GOP will find a fair number of persuadable voters. 

 Yup. That's him, and thanks for the correction regarding neighborhoods. is any news on final results there?
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« Reply #2389 on: November 05, 2021, 06:07:34 PM »


Yeah I saw a map of the initial count (not counting absentee ballots) showing that Sliwa was winning some of the heavily Chinese areas in Brooklyn and Queens next to Jewish areas.

It would be a shame if Ron Kim really lost his seat though.




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« Reply #2390 on: November 05, 2021, 06:12:27 PM »

Credit where credit is due, AOC is completely right here.
Spanish-language media is very overlooked.
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« Reply #2391 on: November 11, 2021, 11:12:22 AM »

Congrats to Mayor Adams.

I am surprised he did didn't carry SI.

I don't know how Dems can win SI in Congress next year with that...

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TML
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« Reply #2392 on: November 11, 2021, 01:28:08 PM »

I don't know how Dems can win SI in Congress next year with that...

It is theoretically possible to lump SI together with enough D-leaning parts of southern Brooklyn to make the entire district D-leaning. The question now becomes whether or not the people in charge of redistricting here are willing to go for that.
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pikachu
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« Reply #2393 on: November 12, 2021, 11:41:12 AM »


Big deep dive in The City about Silwa's performance among Chinese voters. Silwa got 44% of the vote in precincts where more than half of residents are Asian, which is a better performance than enclaves for every other group. Lot of focus on issues like SHSAT and crime, ofc, but there's a foregrounding of fights over homeless shelter and jail locations which remind a lot about fights over similar issues in LA's Koreatown and Irvine.
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Canis
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« Reply #2394 on: November 12, 2021, 12:35:55 PM »


Big deep dive in The City about Silwa's performance among Chinese voters. Silwa got 44% of the vote in precincts where more than half of residents are Asian, which is a better performance than enclaves for every other group. Lot of focus on issues like SHSAT and crime, ofc, but there's a foregrounding of fights over homeless shelter and jail locations which remind a lot about fights over similar issues in LA's Koreatown and Irvine.
Him endorsing a similar program to UBI and appearing on a lot of Andrew Yang affiliate media may have helped him too with the Asian vote.  It appears it was part of Sliwa's campaign strategy to court Yang voters.
https://nypost.com/2021/07/03/republican-curtis-sliwa-courts-cranky-yang-voters-in-nyc-mayoral-race/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=64ClhEYZYss&ab_channel=NerdsforHumanity

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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2395 on: November 12, 2021, 12:36:49 PM »


Ukrainian-American Inna Verkinov, who was born in Chernivtsi, Ukraine flipped 48th District in NY City Council from Democratic to Republican
Just proof how Trumpy the Russian and Ukrainian parts of Brooklyn is

Bit of an election quirk that her opponent lost this cycle while running as a Democrat while he also lost last cycle running as a Republican.
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khuzifenq
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« Reply #2396 on: November 12, 2021, 03:48:37 PM »


Big deep dive in The City about Silwa's performance among Chinese voters. Silwa got 44% of the vote in precincts where more than half of residents are Asian, which is a better performance than enclaves for every other group. Lot of focus on issues like SHSAT and crime, ofc, but there's a foregrounding of fights over homeless shelter and jail locations which remind a lot about fights over similar issues in LA's Koreatown and Irvine.

This probably still would’ve happened to some extent if Yang was the D nominee. Didn’t expect the opposition to homeless shelters, but then again I’m not a NYC area expert. Wonder if there was any effect in heavily South Asian, Korean, or Filipino areas.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2397 on: November 13, 2021, 10:19:31 AM »

While some of these trends could be real, I think any analysis is incredibly premature considering there's what, at least 100K mail-ins left to count?
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« Reply #2398 on: November 13, 2021, 04:03:47 PM »


Big deep dive in The City about Silwa's performance among Chinese voters. Silwa got 44% of the vote in precincts where more than half of residents are Asian, which is a better performance than enclaves for every other group. Lot of focus on issues like SHSAT and crime, ofc, but there's a foregrounding of fights over homeless shelter and jail locations which remind a lot about fights over similar issues in LA's Koreatown and Irvine.

Progressive Dems are blaming this on "misinformation on WeChat" now are totally missing the boat. The campaign is not misinformation, it is a legitimate message against the de Blasio administration which has embraced as its official policy just about every bullet point on that Sliwa poster. It's no wonder Asians in NYC are turning against them, and if the Dem candidate were not Eric Adams, who is not progressive and has disavowed many of de Blasio's stances, on Stuyvesant HS and policing in particular, the hemorrhaging would have been even worse.
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khuzifenq
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« Reply #2399 on: November 13, 2021, 04:37:37 PM »


Big deep dive in The City about Silwa's performance among Chinese voters. Silwa got 44% of the vote in precincts where more than half of residents are Asian, which is a better performance than enclaves for every other group. Lot of focus on issues like SHSAT and crime, ofc, but there's a foregrounding of fights over homeless shelter and jail locations which remind a lot about fights over similar issues in LA's Koreatown and Irvine.

Progressive Dems are blaming this on "misinformation on WeChat" now are totally missing the boat. The campaign is not misinformation, it is a legitimate message against the de Blasio administration which has embraced as its official policy just about every bullet point on that Sliwa poster. It's no wonder Asians in NYC are turning against them, and if the Dem candidate were not Eric Adams, who is not progressive and has disavowed many of de Blasio's stances, on Stuyvesant HS and policing in particular, the hemorrhaging would have been even worse.

I noticed there was some Twitter pushback against some of the statements in that pro-Sliwa Chinese-language poster. The Chinese equivalent to “Racial preference, discrimination, divide America” literally contains the phrase “black people first, Asian people last”- which is itself incredibly divisive and an affront to the Asians (Chinese or otherwise) who backed Adams in the primary.

But I agree with your overall point. There was always going to be some level of pushback against the local Dems among the Chinese enclaves regardless of who was on the ballot.
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