NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[brucejoel99]

In an interview, the candidates was asked what the median price of a home in Brooklyn was, and some of the answers were completely disqualifying: https://www.newsweek.com/nyc-mayor-candidates-shaun-donovan-ray-mcguire-think-average-brooklyn-home-costs-100k-1590464

Correct answer: $900k

Wiley: $1.8 million
Stringer: $1 million
Yang: $900k
Garcia: $800k
Adams: $550k
Morales: $500k
Donovan: $100k
McGuire: $90k

All else aside, props to the guy.

[KaiserDave]

In an interview, the candidates was asked what the median price of a home in Brooklyn was, and some of the answers were completely disqualifying: https://www.newsweek.com/nyc-mayor-candidates-shaun-donovan-ray-mcguire-think-average-brooklyn-home-costs-100k-1590464

Correct answer: $900k

Wiley: $1.8 million
Stringer: $1 million
Yang: $900k
Garcia: $800k
Adams: $550k
Morales: $500k
Donovan: $100k
McGuire: $90k

McGuire is absurdly out of touch, news at 11

[SInNYC]

In an interview, the candidates was asked what the median price of a home in Brooklyn was, and some of the answers were completely disqualifying: https://www.newsweek.com/nyc-mayor-candidates-shaun-donovan-ray-mcguire-think-average-brooklyn-home-costs-100k-1590464

Correct answer: $900k

Wiley: $1.8 million
Stringer: $1 million
Yang: $900k
Garcia: $800k
Adams: $550k
Morales: $500k
Donovan: $100k
McGuire: $90k

IMHO, McGuire and Donovan are the only answers that are disqualifying. Donovan was HUD secretary??

Stringer, Yang and Garcia of course are best, though Yang probably just got lucky in getting closest.

I dont consider Adams and Morales disqualifying since its quite possible that the median 1-2 BR coop price is around 500-600K, while the average is weighted by single family houses.

Wiley probably thinks Brooklyn means  Park Slope and Brooklyn Heights, but many Manhattanites do.

[Oryxslayer]

In an interview, the candidates was asked what the median price of a home in Brooklyn was, and some of the answers were completely disqualifying: https://www.newsweek.com/nyc-mayor-candidates-shaun-donovan-ray-mcguire-think-average-brooklyn-home-costs-100k-1590464

Correct answer: $900k

Wiley: $1.8 million
Stringer: $1 million
Yang: $900k
Garcia: $800k
Adams: $550k
Morales: $500k
Donovan: $100k
McGuire: $90k

IMHO, McGuire and Donovan are the only answers that are disqualifying. Donovan was HUD secretary??

Stringer, Yang and Garcia of course are best, though Yang probably just got lucky in getting closest.

I dont consider Adams and Morales disqualifying since its quite possible that the median 1-2 BR coop price is around 500-600K, while the average is weighted by single family houses.

Wiley probably thinks Brooklyn means  Park Slope and Brooklyn Heights, but many Manhattanites do.

Yang actually is rather good on this stuff, surprise surprise that the math candidate can easily memorize the numbers that a staffer probably presented to him at one point:

[Pyro]

AOC criticizing Yang today, fwiw. Not sure if she has voiced any opinion on the mayoral race yet.

https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1392220241472720897

[SInNYC]

In an interview, the candidates was asked what the median price of a home in Brooklyn was, and some of the answers were completely disqualifying: https://www.newsweek.com/nyc-mayor-candidates-shaun-donovan-ray-mcguire-think-average-brooklyn-home-costs-100k-1590464

Correct answer: $900k

Wiley: $1.8 million
Stringer: $1 million
Yang: $900k
Garcia: $800k
Adams: $550k
Morales: $500k
Donovan: $100k
McGuire: $90k

IMHO, McGuire and Donovan are the only answers that are disqualifying. Donovan was HUD secretary??

Stringer, Yang and Garcia of course are best, though Yang probably just got lucky in getting closest.

I dont consider Adams and Morales disqualifying since its quite possible that the median 1-2 BR coop price is around 500-600K, while the average is weighted by single family houses.

Wiley probably thinks Brooklyn means  Park Slope and Brooklyn Heights, but many Manhattanites do.

Yang actually is rather good on this stuff, surprise surprise that the math candidate can easily memorize the numbers that a staffer probably presented to him at one point:

I didnt know this tweet, but he thinks exactly like me as this is probably exactly how I would have answered. Maybe that makes him my safety vote (ie, 5th on preferences, over Adama/Mcguire/etc).

On a related note, does anybody have suggestions on how to vote in NYC's version of IRV? I've been thinking that my 5th place vote should be the least objectionable of the popular candidates. Is there a better strategy?

[Donerail]

On a related note, does anybody have suggestions on how to vote in NYC's version of IRV? I've been thinking that my 5th place vote should be the least objectionable of the popular candidates. Is there a better strategy?

Makes sense to give it to whoever you prefer in the Adams/Yang matchup — polling doesn't seem to support anyone else making it to the final round.

[Malarkey Decider]

AOC criticizing Yang today, fwiw. Not sure if she has voiced any opinion on the mayoral race yet.

https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1392220241472720897

Haven't 2 of the deaths been attributed to Hamas, while only 1 has been attributed to the Israelis?

[lfromnj]

AOC criticizing Yang today, fwiw. Not sure if she has voiced any opinion on the mayoral race yet.

https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1392220241472720897

Haven't 2 of the deaths been attributed to Hamas, while only 1 has been attributed to the Israelis?

Yes the other 6 are unknown as of now.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/Gothamist/status/1392567282640068611?s=20

Meaningless in the bigger picture, but it totally makes sense that Yang would be the type of person who actually enjoyed High School English Class.

[Real Texan Politics]

AOC criticizing Yang today, fwiw. Not sure if she has voiced any opinion on the mayoral race yet.

https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1392220241472720897

She'll probably start rallying for Adams or Garcia or whoever's more progressive.

https://twitter.com/BidenHarrisBro/status/1392256462584352768?s=20
Also this doesn't look so good for Yang 

[Donerail]

She'll probably start rallying for Adams or Garcia or whoever's more progressive.

I will put $10 on AOC not hosting a rally for Eric Adams.

[Real Texan Politics]

She'll probably start rallying for Adams or Garcia or whoever's more progressive.

I will put $10 on AOC not hosting a rally for Eric Adams.

So I guess that narrows it down. Not like Maya Wiley has much of a chance at this point lol

[Donerail]

She'll probably start rallying for Adams or Garcia or whoever's more progressive.

I will put $10 on AOC not hosting a rally for Eric Adams.

So I guess that narrows it down. Not like Maya Wiley has much of a chance at this point lol

If she endorses anyone (and I doubt she will) it'd be Morales, who seems to have locked up that lane.

[Real Texan Politics]

Any idea on who would win which Borough? About the only one I'm sorta confident in is Adams winning Brooklyn.

[Suburbia]

Any idea on who would win which Borough? About the only one I'm sorta confident in is Adams winning Brooklyn.

Yang probably carries Manhattan, Queens
Adams probably carries Brooklyn, Bronx and Staten Island
Wiley could carry Manhattan or Queens

Adams will get the older Black vote; the young Black vote is probably undecided because of Adams's support of stop and frisk and the fact that he is a former cop.

[KaiserDave]

Adams will win Brooklyn, I would have said Stringer would win Manhattan but now I don't know.

I'm really not sure about who will win where, but I do know that the race will probably be decided between Yang and Adams in Queens.

[Lognog]

AOC criticizing Yang today, fwiw. Not sure if she has voiced any opinion on the mayoral race yet.

https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1392220241472720897

She'll probably start rallying for Adams or Garcia or whoever's more progressive.

https://twitter.com/BidenHarrisBro/status/1392256462584352768?s=20
Also this doesn't look so good for Yang 

FF's

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

"This doesn't look good for Yang" = NYC Mayoral race in a nutshell

[Suburbia]

She'll probably start rallying for Adams or Garcia or whoever's more progressive.

I will put $10 on AOC not hosting a rally for Eric Adams.

This. If Adams is the nominee, will AOC endorse the Green candidate or abstain from voting? Adams is a cop....

[KaiserDave]

https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/dem-nyc-mayoral-candidate-ray-mcguire-dont-more-taxes

Ray McGuire (R)

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

So what are the chances for the candidates?

[Suburbia]

https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/dem-nyc-mayoral-candidate-ray-mcguire-dont-more-taxes

Ray McGuire (R)

No, it's called common sense. You can't tax your way to oblivion. Deal with it, a Republican is not getting elected anytime soon in NYC, and there are moderate Democrats like McGuire who appeal to Manhattanites and Staten Islanders.....

New York City is still the financial capital of America and the world---you can't overtax and then get angry when the city and state's population declines and corporations move to low-tax places like TX, NC, FL, GA and VA.....

You have to moderate on taxes----if Wall Street, etc. leaves who will keep the economic base in NYC?

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

So what are the chances for the candidates?

At this point? Basically 50-50 for Yang and Adams. Morales is the only other candidate trending up at the moment, but she has yet to top 10% in any poll and mostly seems like a pet candidate of the Extremely Online left. She'd have a slim chance in a standard race with seven people if high turnout among that wing happened, but not with ranked-choice.

[Suburbia]

So what are the chances for the candidates?

At this point? Basically 50-50 for Yang and Adams. Morales is the only other candidate trending up at the moment, but she has yet to top 10% in any poll and mostly seems like a pet candidate of the Extremely Online left. She'd have a slim chance in a standard race with seven people if high turnout among that wing happened, but not with ranked-choice.

What about Wiley?