NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[支持核绿派 (Greens4Nuclear)]

I don't think Andrew Yang will realistically win, but I haven't really been following this race. Hopefully he does well.

https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1350526053484277764

[Never Made it to Graceland]

I don't think Andrew Yang will realistically win, but I haven't really been following this race. Hopefully he does well.

https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1350526053484277764

He's right. That's why he needs to go after Airbnb and developers and get those rents down. Especially in traditional ethnic areas like Astoria, Bay Ridge, Lower East Side, etc. But with the Bloomberg people working with him I have my doubts.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Meanwhile I’m sitting here wanting Menchaca all alone

[hyouzel the predictor]

Yang is going to lose and it isn't going to be pretty, but he comes across as very real and endearing to me.

[Oryxslayer]

Full ranked choice selection from a Gotham Gazette Poll.

https://twitter.com/TweetBenMax/status/1352382535272189958?s=20

[Tintrlvr]

I don't think Andrew Yang will realistically win, but I haven't really been following this race. Hopefully he does well.

https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1350526053484277764

He's right. That's why he needs to go after Airbnb and developers and get those rents down. Especially in traditional ethnic areas like Astoria, Bay Ridge, Lower East Side, etc. But with the Bloomberg people working with him I have my doubts.

The left-winger Yang fans will be in for a hilarious surprise if he actually gets elected mayor. I don't like him because he seems like he would fundamentally be unable to accomplish anything as mayor due to genuine ignorance of how politics works (once you're actually in office), but he's clearly the inheritor of the Bloomberg-Quinn line of NYC politics in this election (not ideologically a bad thing to my mind, but he'll infuriate the NIMBYs and the far-left in office).

[KaiserDave]

We've gotten a lot more data so this needs a major overhaul


Frontrunners
Scott Stringer, Eric Adams, Andrew Yang
Competitors
Maya Wiley, Ray McGuire
Periphery of Competition
Diane Morales, Kathryn Garcia
Stragglers
Loree Sutton, Carlos Menchaca, Shaun Donovan
Bottom Feeders
Eddie Cullen, Aaron Foldenauer, Quanda Francis, Max Kaplan, Art Chang, Joycelyn Taylor, Zach Iscol


These new numbers tell us a few things (provided they are somewhat accurate)

1. Yang's entrance has thrown everything into chaos for Stringer and Adams, who expected a two man primary between them, and who both depended on casual name recognition Democrats.
2. Donovan doesn't have the steam (so far) I thought he did. I like him (so far) but he gets a big demotion.
3. Kathryn Garcia woot! Someone who might be my first choice, doing surprisingly well!
4. Diane Morales is the standard bearer of the DSA left and she's carved out a nice niche for herself
5. Yang is ahead, nobody cares about his twitter gaffes (shouldn't be a surprise)

[Zaybay]

It should be noted that the Gotham Gazette poll posted above is a campaign poll from the Yang campaign. Its an internal.

https://twitter.com/TweetBenMax/status/1352371965592526853

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

5. Yang is ahead, nobody cares about his twitter gaffes (shouldn't be a surprise)

Shockingly, I don't think Political reporters on Twitter adhere to the adage of "Twitter isn't real life".

It's like they haven't learned anything from the last 5 years.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I want Yang to win, but the constant whiplash I've gotten on this thread in the last 4 days has been aching.

It's gonna be a long primary.

Almost a week later and this still rings true.

Day 1: "He's not taking this seriously at all"
Day 2: "He's doing a good job so far!"
Day 3: "I'm finding myself really annoyed by Yang"
Day 4: "I'm finding myself really endeared to Yang!"
Day 5: "He's gonna lose so badly"
Day 6: Poll comes out showing Yang on top

And repeat

I'm of the mind that baseless speculation on Yang being on the spectrum is baseless and speculative.

We're very much used to stage managed politicians. Remember that.

Sure, and that’s why I tried to word my post to be strictly speculative while also saying that it shouldn’t diminish his chances in any way, but I don’t think I’ve ever met an adult who acts quite like Andrew Yang. Maybe he is just goofy and awkward.

Well, he is a STEM nerd. Ever come into contact with nerds? They're socially awkward and may not be the best at talking to people (Source: Myself, a STEM nerd who is socially awkward)

[brucejoel99]

Like KaiserDave, I really wish that Shaun Donovan could be taken more seriously. If that's not in the cards, though, then I'm all in on YangGang2021.

[KaiserDave]

Like KaiserDave, I really wish that Shaun Donovan could be taken more seriously. If that's not in the cards, though, then I'm all in on YangGang2021.

I also like Kathryn Garcia and I still like Stringer but yeah agreed

[KaiserDave]

https://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/ny-oped-yes-andrew-yang-is-a-real-new-yorker-20210122-geqzxyxqq5dw5gohptbk55eewy-story.html

This over emphasis on Yang's "New York-ness" is going to backfire

[Babeuf]

https://twitter.com/tweetbenmax/status/1353169589451042816?s=21

Gustavo Rivera endorses Stringer #1 and Morales #2. Important left wing state senator.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/nydailynews/status/1353161641173671936?s=21

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/nydailynews/status/1353161641173671936?s=21

So, NYC's version of San Francisco's Leno/Kim pact back in 2018.

[rhg2052]

Meanwhile I’m sitting here wanting Menchaca all alone

I'm with ya!

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Meanwhile I’m sitting here wanting Menchaca all alone

I'm with ya!

There’s dozens of us!

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/nydailynews/status/1353161641173671936?s=21

This is actually pretty cool and good for raising awareness. I would hope that more people give Morales a look and a first preference but if this helps her get into the top tier then so be it.

[politics_king]

Yang has the name recognition and he's well liked by the media & entertainment industries. Plus he'll pull in campaign money from outside the state. We'll see if a Yang PAC starts. But it'll all be about the debates. I think Yang just needs to run as an outsider. "I have big ideas and I'm not a NYC bureaucrat that only looks out for my colleagues interests."

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Yeah, okay, this doesn't help, Shaun.

https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/new-york-elections-government/ny-nyc-mayoral-race-shaun-donovan-biden-alums-20210126-geb5ajdsi5b47njrek6ew65oru-story.html#nt=barker

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Are there any top-tier candidates in this race that hasn't made a faux pas so far?

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Yeah, okay, this doesn't help, Shaun.

https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/new-york-elections-government/ny-nyc-mayoral-race-shaun-donovan-biden-alums-20210126-geb5ajdsi5b47njrek6ew65oru-story.html#nt=barker

I am genuinely curious about how this is in any way a gaffe or error.

[AGA]

Yang has a serious shot at this. I hope it's either him or McGuire.

[StateBoiler]

Back and forth between the city and state on using ranked choice voting software for their upcoming special election. The city was planning on doing a manual count for RCV due to the state not approving the software. An update says the state agreed last night to come up with a plan to certify tabulation software for the city.

https://gothamist.com/news/nyc-board-elections-plans-hand-count-ranked-choice-voting-results-after-impasse-state