How Would The Previous Poster Do In Your CD In A GE For The Current Cycle?
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  How Would The Previous Poster Do In Your CD In A GE For The Current Cycle?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: How Would The Previous Poster Do In Your CD In A GE For The Current Cycle?  (Read 984 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« on: August 28, 2020, 03:54:35 PM »
Other nominees stay the same. I will do an example. If YE replaced Colin Allred as the D nominee in my congressional district this year (TX 32), he would wins 53-45.
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2020, 04:07:04 PM »
I'll use Chamber of Deputies district Liguria - 06 this September.

Mmh. You would probably get 30% for the centre-left or slightly more than 40% for the government coalition.
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Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2020, 04:26:41 PM »
This will be the answer to any user, as a Democrat, yes. As anything else, no.
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West_Midlander
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2020, 04:36:00 PM »
Wins easily. (New NC-04).
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WD
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2020, 04:42:33 PM »
Pretty decent, although he probably wouldn’t win the primary
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2020, 04:51:17 PM »
Wins easily
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S019
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2020, 04:37:24 PM »
Wins by mid single digits (NJ-11)
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2020, 05:24:38 PM »
Loses in a landslide despite early hopes of your tough on drugs attitude swinging voters. 70-30 (sc-03)
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2020, 07:16:57 PM »
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S019
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2020, 09:54:58 PM »
Lose by around 18 (assuming you run as an R and challenge Sherrill in the GE)
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WD
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2020, 09:59:41 PM »
Probably wins, although narrowly
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #11 on: August 30, 2020, 05:33:56 AM »
Loses by a decent margin. Only right wingers and pro flanders candidates make a chance.
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #12 on: August 30, 2020, 06:02:05 AM »
Liguria - 06

If he accepts to run the PD-M5S-others alliance thing, I an convinced he may be a great fit for it and reach 50%.

But probably he would just run for a left-leftist group and take 3%.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #13 on: August 30, 2020, 08:34:41 PM »
Assuming he ran as a Democrat, he loses 68-30 to Mark Green
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West_Midlander
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« Reply #14 on: August 31, 2020, 06:32:59 AM »
Naturally, loses badly (New NC-04)
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #15 on: August 31, 2020, 11:05:51 AM »
One of the few Atlasians that would win my CD.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2020, 04:04:30 PM »
« Edited: August 31, 2020, 04:12:59 PM by Forumlurker »
A very poor fit for my CD.
If a Democrat: The margin is surprisingly close, but he could actually lose by around 1-3%. Depending on party loyalty, may be able to eek out a win if everything goes right.
If a Republican: Loses by an embarrassing amount, possibly a >20% margin.
Being a socialist-populist doesn’t work in suburban Colorado.
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S019
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« Reply #17 on: September 02, 2020, 11:34:12 PM »
You'd win it by like a 5-6 pt margin
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Big Abraham
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« Reply #18 on: September 02, 2020, 11:40:20 PM »
My district is currently Washington's 3rd (never mind the avatar), so as a Democrat you'd probably lose it by at least 2-3 points
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FairBol
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« Reply #19 on: September 12, 2020, 04:43:36 AM »
(edit, somehow didn't see this was about CDs)

He'd have a good chance of winning, I'd say.
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OBD
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« Reply #20 on: September 21, 2020, 10:46:45 AM »
Probably better than Generic R against Bonamici, but that's not saying much. Lose 59-40 at best.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #21 on: September 21, 2020, 11:00:32 AM »
He would get crushed by Dusty Johnson, who would get at least 65%.
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #22 on: September 21, 2020, 11:43:41 AM »
Wins a landslide on par with the generic D (NC-04)
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #23 on: October 06, 2020, 10:10:09 PM »
Would win it by a lot as a Republican, lose it by a lot as a Democrat, or be irrelevant as an Independent (TN-7).

I'll say 65-30 (or flip it), with 2% if he's an Indy.
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Gracile
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2020, 10:11:54 PM »
Loses pretty easily.
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