MI - Trafalgar: James +2%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

In terms of margin (+1.5%), he's outperforming Trump by +0.1%

https://drive.google.com/file/d/12_IApGhCQY27OukwWXGnk0MFgfPctmhQ/view

James 48%
Peters 47%
Jorgensen 3%
Another Party Candidate 2%
Undecided 3%

August 14-23, 2020
1048 likely voters
MoE: 2.98%

[Woody]

Good for James

[Woody]

Toss up.

[WD]

lol Trafalgar.

Anyway Likely D

[neostassenite31]

Republicans love Trafalgar and Rasmussmen just like Dems love PPP and GSG

[Xing]

Not likely unless another poll shows this (or several.) I don't think Peters will win by quite as much as some on Atlas, though.

[ON Progressive]

Republicans love Trafalgar and Rasmussmen just like Dems love PPP and GSG

PPP isn’t even in the same galaxy as Trafalgar and Rasmussen.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Republicans love Trafalgar and Rasmussmen just like Dems love PPP and GSG

PPP isn’t even in the same galaxy as Trafalgar and Rasmussen.

Rasmussen isn't in the same galaxy as Trafalgar at this point. It's trashy with a heavy Republican bias, but consistently overweighting Republicans as opposed to invoking 'social desirability bias' mid-cycle means it's at least a passable tracking poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

James has certainly taken on the Harrison role. Harrison has fallen off, since he was a partisan staffer for Clyburn to help Biden get the nomination.  I can careless about Harrison who will lose

[MT Treasurer]

Taking this race for granted (D) or writing it off (R) is about the last thing any competent party would do, especially when it’s a potential tipping-point race and (memeing aside) there are no indications that Peters is going to outperform Biden by more than 1 or maybe 2 percentage points like some people here believe. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again even if I incur the wrath of Senator Peters by repeating it, but I don’t buy that this race is much less winnable for Republicans than NC/ME/AZ.

[Kuumo]

I can't wait for a deluge of threads claiming that MI-SEN is now a toss-up in the vein of all those threads on the 2020 board about how toSs-uP MiNNesOTa is a SuRPriSE TrUmP FLiP that wIlL voTe to the RiGHt of WiSConSIn and PeNNsyLVanIA. All because of one Trafalgar poll. Minnesota and MI-SEN are Likely D, not toss-ups because of some low quality polls that routinely overestimate Republicans.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I can't wait for a deluge of threads claiming that MI-SEN is now a toss-up in the vein of all those threads on the 2020 board about how toSs-uP MiNNesOTa is a SuRPriSE TrUmP FLiP that wIlL voTe to the RiGHt of WiSConSIn and PeNNsyLVanIA. All because of one Trafalgar poll. Minnesota and MI-SEN are Likely D, not toss-ups because of some low quality polls that routinely overestimate Republicans.

Ds are overconfident in AZ and NC, both races are gonna be 2 to 4 points not 10, just like MI, but Whitmer would have cemented this race for Peter's whom isnt Stabenow

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Good for James

These type of polls occur almost every cycle for a comfy race, it would be weird not to have them, ie. see that poll that had tom smith winning by 2 in 2012 against bob casey when almost all the other polls showed him losing. He went on to lose by 9ish.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Toss up.

Hey, you are the guy who kept going on about how tina smith was in a tossup race in 2018, this is lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

James won't win its still a 2 to 4 race, but as I stated before AZ and NC are tossups and counting out McSally or Tillis is detrimental

[SN2903]

Both Presidential and Senate in Michigan are Toss Up at this point.

My prediction as of now is:

James 48%
Peters 47%

Trump 49%
Biden 47.5%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Peter's, Jones and Smith are now endangered of losing

[SenatorCouzens]

Both Presidential and Senate in Michigan are Toss Up at this point.

My prediction as of now is:

James 48%
Peters 47%

Trump 49%
Biden 47.5%

I don't think this is the likely result, but, unlike most posters on here, I think it's a plausible should the election break for the Republicans in the end.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://www.michiganadvance.com/blog/after-backing-james-in-2018-bid-gop-sterling-heights-mayor-endorses-peters/

Good for James, I win this thread.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Alot of Rs left Trump to go to Biden, due to bandwagon when Biden is ahead. But, are those same Rs that's backing Biden telling their colleagues in the Senate to pass the Heroes Act, no they arent. As, I stated before, if a deal isnt reached, the wrath of the voters will be felt and even Pelosi can become House minority Leader again

[MT Treasurer]

https://www.michiganadvance.com/blog/after-backing-james-in-2018-bid-gop-sterling-heights-mayor-endorses-peters/

Good for James, I win this thread.

You’re the Bill Nelson of Atlas, you’ll never win anything here.