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Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,444
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« on: September 03, 2020, 12:53:13 AM » |
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It's hard to say for sure, but I do think there would have been a greater likelihood of it happening. Remember that exit polls from four key states (WI, MI, PA, and FL) indicated that voters who decided within the week before Election Day could have provided the decisive margins in those states. On the other hand, 538 published an article a few days before the Comey announcement where it envisioned five different election outcomes, including one where Trump won. The Trump win scenario almost exactly matched the actual outcome except they had Trump winning NH and Clinton winning MI.
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