Change Research: AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA, WI - Biden +2, +3, +6, +1, +3, +5

[Sir Mohamed]

Not bad considering it's Change, though Biden's lead in PA seems too small. AZ for sure has been kind of stubborn so far. Biden has had leads there for several months, but they gap has changed little or not at all regardless of whether the national average is Biden +4 or Biden +9.

[Sir Mohamed]

Not bad considering it's Change, though Biden's lead in PA seems too small. AZ for sure has been kind of stubborn so far. Biden has had leads there for several months, but they gap has changed little or not at all regardless of whether the national average is Biden +4 or Biden +9.

The AZ poll also is only like 300 RV, so it's even more junk than the rest of them tbh.

True, but it's pretty much in line with most other AZ polls. There has been a pattern showing Biden ahead by tilt/lean margins for several months now, despite the fact the national race has shifted as a result of the pandemic. In states like FL, Biden has improved compared to winter and spring, while AZ hasn't moved at all.