2004 Election with no 9/11

[dw93]

Best Case for Bush:

300 EV
238

Worst Case for Bush:

316 EV
222 EV

[dw93]

I'd also add that I think the Democrats would flip the House in 2002 and build on their majority in the Senate. How Bush deals with them and how the Democratic leadership (still Daschle in the Senate, likely Gephardt in the House) deals with him will also impact the outcome of 2004.