Redfield & Wilton: Biden +9 AZ, +8 FL, -2 NC, +12 MI, +7 PA, +10 WI
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  Redfield & Wilton: Biden +9 AZ, +8 FL, -2 NC, +12 MI, +7 PA, +10 WI		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Redfield & Wilton: Biden +9 AZ, +8 FL, -2 NC, +12 MI, +7 PA, +10 WI  (Read 3124 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: August 21, 2020, 06:14:44 PM »
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-august/

Redfield & Wilton swing state polls, Aug. 16-19 (1-month change)

AZ:

Biden 47 (+1)
Trump 38 (nc)

FL:

Biden 49 (+1)
Trump 41 (nc)

NC:

Trump 46 (+4)
Biden 44 (+1)

MI:

Biden 50 (+1)
Trump 38 (+1)

PA:

Biden 48 (nc)
Trump 41 (nc)

WI:

Biden 49 (+4)
Trump 39 (+4)
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2020, 06:18:54 PM »
I knew I couldn't trust North Carolina as far as I can throw it. What the hell is going on there?

Assuming this poll is accurate at all, the other results are promising though and maybe this will calm people down about the Michigan number from Civiqs today.
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WD
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2020, 06:20:14 PM »
Are their Senate Numbers?
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BigSerg
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2020, 06:20:44 PM »
Hahahahaha trash poll
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2020, 06:23:21 PM »
None of the states had a huge swing against someone in particular besides NC, so I don't buy that that one made such movement, especially *during* the DNC.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2020, 06:23:19 PM »
Finally some quality polls after Trafalger and Emerson trash.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2020, 06:23:41 PM »
Why is Trump rebounding in North Carolina?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2020, 06:24:17 PM »

Here: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-16-to-19-august/

AZ: Kelly 53, McSally 34

MI: Peters 48, James 39

NC: Cunningham 47, Tillis 38
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2020, 06:25:05 PM »

Um... Cunningham is up by 9 but Biden losing by 2? Huh?

Also, the poll also has Biden *losing* females in North Carolina, so...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: August 21, 2020, 06:26:45 PM »

No
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2020, 06:27:48 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 21, 2020, 06:23:19 PM
Finally some quality polls after Trafalger and Emerson trash.
lol.. quality polls because they show the results you want.

This pollster isn't even rated by 538.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2020, 06:29:21 PM »
So a tossup in NC and comfortable Biden margins everywhere else.  Not bad at all.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: August 21, 2020, 06:29:28 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on August 21, 2020, 06:27:48 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 21, 2020, 06:23:19 PM
Finally some quality polls after Trafalger and Emerson trash.
lol.. quality polls because they show the results you want.

This pollster isn't even rated by 538.

TBH, all 3 are kinda trash. This cycle has been unbearable in polling department mostly bc there's been little to none actual high quality state polling.
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WD
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« Reply #13 on: August 21, 2020, 06:30:08 PM »
Well, about time we got some decent polling.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #14 on: August 21, 2020, 06:38:39 PM »
At least in the later half of next week the real polling season starts up.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #15 on: August 21, 2020, 06:41:45 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on August 21, 2020, 06:38:39 PM
At least in the later half of next week the real polling season starts up.

Yep, in 2016 we got many polls 3-5 days after, so hopefully we'll get some on Sunday and then a lot in the beginning half of the wweek.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: August 21, 2020, 06:41:55 PM »
334 freiwall plus IA, OH, KS and GA will give Ds 54 seats
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #17 on: August 21, 2020, 06:42:20 PM »
They're a British pollster. It's weird how they keep polling US races and they're new to I don't believe they polled the 2019 UK election.
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Fusternino
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« Reply #18 on: August 21, 2020, 06:50:44 PM »
Who are these Trump-Kelly voters?
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #19 on: August 21, 2020, 07:00:08 PM »

Space Force enthusiasts.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: August 21, 2020, 07:15:59 PM »

There has been some word in the McSally camp that a decent number of Trump voters are leaving the Senate race blank as they don't see McSally has Trumpy enough.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #21 on: August 21, 2020, 07:41:23 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on August 21, 2020, 06:27:48 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 21, 2020, 06:23:19 PM
Finally some quality polls after Trafalger and Emerson trash.
lol.. quality polls because they show the results you want.

This pollster isn't even rated by 538.

It's new. It is foreign, so I assume a healthy disinterest in results and thus objectivity.

I prefer one quality poll over eight trash polls.

 
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #22 on: August 21, 2020, 07:42:02 PM »
Hmmm.
NC continues to be stubborn.
Biden should continue to pursue it though; it's right there at the Toss-up mark.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: August 21, 2020, 07:44:29 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on August 21, 2020, 07:42:02 PM
Hmmm.
NC continues to be stubborn.
Biden should continue to pursue it though; it's right there at the Toss-up mark.

NC has early voting so and Cooper is winning by a landslide
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #24 on: August 22, 2020, 08:18:16 AM »
The regional breakdown of the Florida poll is hilarious..


Trump somehow losing Northern Florida by 15 (he won it 58-37 in 2016), and Biden is vastly underperforming Clinton in the Miami Metro area..

Into the trash it goes.
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