KS-GOV 2022: Colyer drops out, endorses Schmidt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kelly will beat Moran

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Govs in 2022

Gov Ruben Gallego AZ or some Dem
Gov John Fetterman or Shapiro PA
Gov Moran  of KS
Gov Ben Jealous of MD or some D


4changes, no net changes in 2022, Covid has insulated incumbents from defeat in 2022

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kelly will win Cook has this Tilt D she is at 50%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R

Cook has this Titanium D, Colyer isn't Marshall whom was more of a main stream R.  Don't underestimate Laura Kelly she is just as popular as Beshear is in KY and has 50 percent Approvals, I rate this Titanium D

Look at my ratings, that's why I have them the way they are, except for Cook bogus rating in WI, he had Walker winning a mnth before the Election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is at  the same Approvals as Bush W was in 2002 MA Gov is gonna go D, the Rs won't win the 15/20 seats like they did in 2010 Obamacare is popular now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Very sad news. He endorsed Schmidt on his way out. We’re almost a year out from the primary but it seems like Schmidt might have an easy path to the nomination here.

Toss-up -> Lean R, IMHO.

No o, Kathleen Sebelius won Reelection what poll has Kelly losing, Cook has it Tilt D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article259012488.html

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KS was more R during Bush W years due to Brownback and the Christian Right and twice elected Kathleen Sebelius so it's not unusual for KS to reelect another D Gov, the last two polls but no one puts polls in Database basically had it a tied race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just because Kansas republican politicians are supporting her doesn't mean Kansas republican voters will do the same en masse.

This. A number of Republicans endorsed Barbara Bollier in 2020, and look how that turned out.

The state of KS haven't sent a D Sen to Congress to the 30s, Kathleen Sebelius was reelected Gov of KS 2003/2011

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just because Kansas republican politicians are supporting her doesn't mean Kansas republican voters will do the same en masse.

This. A number of Republicans endorsed Barbara Bollier in 2020, and look how that turned out.

Or Paul Davis in 2014.

Kathleen Sebelius was reelected 2003/11 as D Gov of KS

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303/235 map in a 65/60 election but anything can happen on a VBM Election, we have averaged since 2006 65/60 M votes and VA, CO, NV cancels out OH

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean/Likely R -> Safe D

/s

Lmao, even OC recommended this post.

Just like OH was tied 38 and NC was 42/40 and Crist is leading in FL the red states are wave insurance for the H Biden is already near 50/47 to retain the blue states Rs and Senate but we still have nine mnths to win the H with wave insurance seats, I would like to simplify my map to 303 but Beasley can win and Barnes can lose, Beasley is tied with McCrory

The only polls in this race had Kelly leading by 5 and another Schmidt leading 51/49% that's not Likely R that's Lean D and KS was more R during Bush W yrs and Sebelius win Anyways

Beshear and Manchin are also leading their races too 55/45,

Some users think the Election is over already

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Still Likely R, closer to Safe R than Lean R.

Laura Kelly is currently the most vulnerable incumbent in the country in any statewide race this cycle, and that isn't likely to change any time soon.

Tony Evers has entered the chat.

Evers doesn't need nearly as much crossover support to win. Of course, both are likely to lose.

Evers is at 51 Percent Approval