KS-GOV 2022: Colyer drops out, endorses Schmidt

[brucejoel99]

He's probably trying to shore up support for Republicans in Kansas' state legislature. Kansas is effectively a tripartite system, and if the moderate Republicans side with Democrats come redistricting, it could lead to a real mess for Moran down the line.

Why would redistricting have any effect on a Senator?

[BuckeyeNut]

He's probably trying to shore up support for Republicans in Kansas' state legislature. Kansas is effectively a tripartite system, and if the moderate Republicans side with Democrats come redistricting, it could lead to a real mess for Moran down the line.

Why would redistricting have any effect on a Senator?

Not the point -- point is, you want allies in the legislature if you're running for Governor.

[tmthforu94]

Yeah, I get the point BuckeyeNut was making and he is absolutely right - he's going to support candidates in 2020 in state-level offices that will back and support him in 2022, regardless if he runs for Senate or Governor. But it seems to indicate moreso a Governor run, in my view.

[tmthforu94]

Not going to happen, Moran's Comms Director confirmed today that he is running for reelection:

https://twitter.com/tomwbrandt/status/1325859851684229120?s=20

[Hope For A New Era]

Good. Kelly should be safe.

[Not Me, Us]

Good. Kelly should be safe.

I wouldn't count on that. She's a Democrat in a red state in a midterm that will not be favorable to her party, she should be very concerned.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Govs in 2022

Gov Ruben Gallego AZ or some Dem
Gov John Fetterman or Shapiro PA
Gov Moran  of KS
Gov Ben Jealous of MD or some D


4changes, no net changes in 2022, Covid has insulated incumbents from defeat in 2022

[tmthforu94]

https://townhall.com/columnists/gabriellahoffman/2021/03/01/ks-ag-derek-schmidt-looking-seriously-at-2022-gubernatorial-run-n2585488?110&fbclid=IwAR2WW9WnPnlotPDPd2pGIlezexgT_uhYxEQiBmN32pf2N82Az5A_Lpec64o

Attorney General Derek Schmidt has been pretty mum about his political future—until now. He told me he’s “seriously” considering running against Governor Kelly in 2022.

“Well, we're looking seriously at it,” said Schmidt in a phone interview. “And as I've visited with people, I've been really very honored that so many Kansans have encouraged me to run. I'll have more to say about that once I've made a decision.”

He'd probably be one of the best candidates - can satisfy both wings of the GOP.

[The Houstonian]

Idk. Why he would he give up a safe Senate seat to make a risky run for governor?

For some people, it's a step up. I would consider myself one of those people.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kelly will win Cook has this Tilt D she is at 50%

[The Houstonian]

He's probably trying to shore up support for Republicans in Kansas' state legislature. Kansas is effectively a tripartite system, and if the moderate Republicans side with Democrats come redistricting, it could lead to a real mess for Moran down the line.

Why would redistricting have any effect on a Senator?

The people elected to the U.S. House could covet his seat, or they could either help or hurt his political agenda (whatever that might be) in their capacity as members of Congress.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/jonshorman/status/1367854119000608775?s=19

[Not Me, Us]

He'd be a strong candidate in the general. It remains to be seen, but if he can win the nom, this race would be lean R.

[Hope For A New Era]

Well, looks like this election will be a third consecutive referendum on Brownback then.

[KaiserDave]

Lean R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R

Cook has this Titanium D, Colyer isn't Marshall whom was more of a main stream R.  Don't underestimate Laura Kelly she is just as popular as Beshear is in KY and has 50 percent Approvals, I rate this Titanium D

Look at my ratings, that's why I have them the way they are, except for Cook bogus rating in WI, he had Walker winning a mnth before the Election

[beesley]

Lean R

Cook has this Titanium D, Colyer isn't Marshall whom was more of a main stream R.  Don't underestimate Laura Kelly she is just as popular as Beshear is in KY and has 50 percent Approvals, I rate this Titanium D

Actually, Cook have it as Lean D, and my personal opinion is that that is generous to Dems, given Cook's policy on being generous towards incumbents. Given that Hogan with 68% approvals only won by 10 I'd say Kelly is vulnerable if Rs put up a serious challenge, which they would Colyer. So I think Titanium D is a bit of a stretch.

[The Houstonian]

Well, looks like this election will be a third consecutive referendum on Brownback then.

What would this entail in terms of the outcome?

[President Johnson]

Pure tossup. Last time I checked Kelly was pretty popular, so she's far from doomed. But the national environment and partisan lean of the state will hurt her. And Colyer is definitely a stronger candidate than KKKobach.

[MT Treasurer]

Well, looks like this election will be a third consecutive referendum on Brownback then.

I just have to say that while we disagree on everything, I find it amazing how you’re able to spin literally everything as a positive for your party. Can’t say that I harbor that kind of optimism, but this seems to be a fundamental difference between Democrats and Republicans in general.

[Galeel]

Well, looks like this election will be a third consecutive referendum on Brownback then.

I just have to say that while we disagree on everything, I find it amazing how you’re able to spin literally everything as a positive for your party. Can’t say that I harbor that kind of optimism, but this seems to be a fundamental difference between Democrats and Republicans in general.

I mean there are plenty of Republicans who are always 100% convinced that every election will be a red wave. I don't think that's limited to either party.

[Hope For A New Era]

Well, looks like this election will be a third consecutive referendum on Brownback then.

I just have to say that while we disagree on everything, I find it amazing how you’re able to spin literally everything as a positive for your party. Can’t say that I harbor that kind of optimism, but this seems to be a fundamental difference between Democrats and Republicans in general.

And who says a third referendum on Brownback is a good thing for Democrats? 2014 was a referendum on him too, and he was reelected. Kelly has a strong record. It looked like she could have campaigned on that. Now she's forced to go back into anti-Brownbackism, as if a decade of that wasn't enough, and though that's a powerful attack in Kansas, its power diminishes with every passing year.

Can’t say that I harbor that kind of optimism, but this seems to be a fundamental difference between Democrats and Republicans in general.

Regardless of whatever fundamental differences may or may not exist, you seem to be an exceptionally pessimistic Republican. I'm not sure why, considering that Republicans made gains in 2020 somehow. Any sane country would have had another 1932, but your party has quite possibly the most loyal, or brainwashed, party base in the world. Your party is basically invincible and inevitable. No matter how bad it gets, the Republican Party somehow remains America's "default party," the party that the nation always inevitably forgives, no matter how destructive it becomes.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is at  the same Approvals as Bush W was in 2002 MA Gov is gonna go D, the Rs won't win the 15/20 seats like they did in 2010 Obamacare is popular now

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/drjeffcolyer/status/1382786997048152065?s=21

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Likely R, Pessimistic about this race.