KS-GOV 2022: Colyer drops out, endorses Schmidt

[Alben Barkley]

Winning chance for Laura Kelly has soared to 69% in FiveThirtyEight's deluxe model after that Echelon +12 poll (they still rate Echelon as B/C pollster though). I think that's a little too bullish. Classic and lite models even have her at 78% and 85%. That's way off as well.

Nate Bronze doesn't know s**t.

His track record is about 10 trillion times better than yours, so I don't know where you get off talking s--t.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Winning chance for Laura Kelly has soared to 69% in FiveThirtyEight's deluxe model after that Echelon +12 poll (they still rate Echelon as B/C pollster though). I think that's a little too bullish. Classic and lite models even have her at 78% and 85%. That's way off as well.

Nate Bronze doesn't know s**t.

His track record is about 10 trillion times better than yours, so I don't know where you get off talking s--t.

By insulting SnowLabrador like that you have helped Republicans in the midterms.

[MT Treasurer]

Winning chance for Laura Kelly has soared to 69% in FiveThirtyEight's deluxe model after that Echelon +12 poll (they still rate Echelon as B/C pollster though). I think that's a little too bullish. Classic and lite models even have her at 78% and 85%. That's way off as well.

Nate Bronze doesn't know s**t.

His track record is about 10 trillion times better than yours, so I don't know where you get off talking s--t.

By insulting SnowLabrador like that you have helped Republicans in the midterms.

He insulted SnowLabrador, yet he displayed such a confidence by posting this that he even managed to intimidate me — it almost feels like something which might as well have been directed at me. I look up to Alben, the last thing I could handle is becoming the target of one of his verbal attacks.

Alben, please don’t talk to me the way you talked to SnowLab.

[BullyGirl]

What went wrong for Derek Schmidt?

[Hope For A New Era]

What went wrong for Derek Schmidt?

Nothing.

A run for office against a popular incumbent governor is not likely to succeed.

[TML]

What went wrong for Derek Schmidt?

Democrats tied him to Sam Brownback (and that administration’s unpopular tax experiment), and Schmidt wasn’t able to effectively free himself from being associated with Brownback.

[ProgressiveModerate]

One thing that's really interesting is that Schmidt lost while Kobach won. This proves Kelly has pretty far-reaching crossover appeal.

Also, another underdiscussed thing is a few of the D legislative upsets, especially in Johnson County. The GOP is going to regret their state legislative gerrymander so bad when it locks them out of a supermajority.

[Hope For A New Era]

One thing that's really interesting is that Schmidt lost while Kobach won. This proves Kelly has pretty far-reaching crossover appeal.

Also, another underdiscussed thing is a few of the D legislative upsets, especially in Johnson County. The GOP is going to regret their state legislative gerrymander so bad when it locks them out of a supermajority.

Exactly as I was saying, for two and a half years before the election Atlas went into full partisanship-over-everything mode after 2020, I think.

Although I have to admit I'm surprised Kobach won. I'm not sure how to explain that. Maybe it was just the general low-profile-ness of the race? Despite him running, there strangely wasn't that much media attention on it. Maybe some crossover Kelly voters voted for her and then habitually/reflexively R on the rest of the ballot without really looking closely at the names.

Even weirder, I have heard that there was at least one R internal poll that had Schmidt winning but Kobach losing.

Also, Mann outperformed Kelly in Johnson somehow. Not sure who the Schmidt-Mann voters are, but I guess they could be half-realigneds like the Fontes-Kelly-Lake voters of Arizona or something. Maybe they were 2018 Orman voters?