What percentage of the Republican Party is white? (user search)
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  What percentage of the Republican Party is white? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What percentage of the Republican Party is white?  (Read 2007 times)
Adam Griffin
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Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: August 20, 2020, 03:32:43 PM »
« edited: August 20, 2020, 03:36:32 PM by Biden/Abrams Voter »

The GOP electorate is north of 90% white.

In 2016, reagente found Trump's electorate to be 91% white, while my findings had it at 93%.

I found Romney's 2012 electorate to be 93% white as well (inferred from the original purpose for those calcs). It shouldn't be too surprising that Romney and Trump's electorates could have been equally white: Trump almost certainly did worse with non-black minority voters than Romney (despite exit poll claims), while he definitely did better with black voters.

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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2020, 11:08:43 PM »

The GOP electorate is north of 90% white.

In 2016, reagente found Trump's electorate to be 91% white, while my findings had it at 93%.

I found Romney's 2012 electorate to be 93% white as well (inferred from the original purpose for those calcs). It shouldn't be too surprising that Romney and Trump's electorates could have been equally white: Trump almost certainly did worse with non-black minority voters than Romney (despite exit poll claims), while he definitely did better with black voters.

White or non-Hispanic white?

Non-Hispanic white.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2020, 08:34:28 AM »
« Edited: September 07, 2020, 09:36:07 AM by Save the Children from Powerful Men »

No evidence to suggest such (at least in presidential elections). Even Clinton's was only 32% Latino (Obama's was 34% in '12).

In 2016, Trump's TX electorate was 84% white, 12% Latino.

In 2008, McCain's was 83% white, 13% Latino.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2020, 11:24:28 AM »

No evidence to suggest such (at least in presidential elections). Even Clinton's was only 32% Latino (Obama's was 34% in '12).

In 2016, Trump's TX electorate was 84% white, 12% Latino.

In 2008, McCain's was 83% white, 13% Latino.

Not sure if you have the data, but given the common claim that Bush lost latinos nationally by single digits; how was Bush's electorate in TX in 2004? He must have won among TX latinos if he was close nationally right?

Only thing I can go on are the 2004 Texas exit polls (which show Kerry won Latinos in the state 50-49). Based on the same data, it would have been a 79% White, 16% Latino electorate. The white electorate back then was considerably larger and the Latino electorate considerably smaller, so even though Bush did quite a bit better with Latinos overall, it still didn't translate into them being a much larger share of the GOP electorate than present-day.
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