What percentage of the Republican Party is white?
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  What percentage of the Republican Party is white?
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Author Topic: What percentage of the Republican Party is white?  (Read 1969 times)
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bronz4141
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« on: August 19, 2020, 11:11:06 PM »

I don't believe the Republican Party is 95 percent white, I just don't believe it.

90 percent? Eh. 85 percent? Yea. They are Black Republicans like Tim Scott, Kim Klacik, Daniel Cameron.

They are Latino Republicans like Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, etc.

South Asian Americans like Nikki Haley, Bobby Jindal.

What do you think?
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #1 on: August 20, 2020, 12:47:14 AM »

No, 95% or likey 90% is about right. Even minorities that vote Republican are usually still registered Democrats. Like non-Cuban Hispanics and Native Americans in areas like Robeson County.

Now to the GOP credit, their representation is probably more diverse than there actually voting base. I wish the Democratic party will do the same but they are still in that Clinton era mindset that in order appeal to white voters they can't be seen as to close to minorities.

Still a lot of the people you listed were able to rise because of tokenism and only made possible by orchestrated primaries. You need to remember that Rubio, Haley, Cruz, and Scott had heavy involvement by national leaders in the party by what was considered competitive primaries. While it was probably a reaction to the election of Obama. It would have really helped if that same effort would be used to stop the Q's from winning the election. 
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2020, 05:01:01 AM »

Looking at recent exit polls:

2018 House Election:
86% of Republican voters were white
7% Hispanic of any race
3% other
2% black
1.5% Asian

2016 Presidential Election:
86% white
7% Hispanic of any race
2.5% Asian
2.5% other
2% black


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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2020, 05:14:36 AM »

Looking at recent exit polls:

2018 House Election:
86% of Republican voters were white
7% Hispanic of any race
3% other
2% black
1.5% Asian

2016 Presidential Election:
86% white
7% Hispanic of any race
2.5% Asian
2.5% other
2% black




Completely unsurprisingly, the states that "look" more like the Republican Party, or at least Republican voters, seem to be Utah, Idaho, Wyoming and Nebraska.

Of course as Patrick97 suggested many people who vote Republican are not actually registered Republicans.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2020, 10:37:03 AM »

Looking at recent exit polls:

2018 House Election:
86% of Republican voters were white
7% Hispanic of any race
3% other
2% black
1.5% Asian

2016 Presidential Election:
86% white
7% Hispanic of any race
2.5% Asian
2.5% other
2% black




Completely unsurprisingly, the states that "look" more like the Republican Party, or at least Republican voters, seem to be Utah, Idaho, Wyoming and Nebraska.

Of course as Patrick97 suggested many people who vote Republican are not actually registered Republicans.

While I suspect "registered Republicans" (or, more usefully, people who regularly vote in GOP primaries and caucuses, as some states don't have partisan registration) are slightly more White than GOP electoral coalitions, I am not 100% sure.  For all of these minorities who might not consider themselves Republicans but voted GOP in 2016 or 2018, surely there are a decent number of minorities who DO usually consider themselves Republicans and voted for Clinton in 2016 or Democratic in 2018, too.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2020, 12:16:20 PM »

Looking at recent exit polls:

2018 House Election:
86% of Republican voters were white
7% Hispanic of any race
3% other
2% black
1.5% Asian

2016 Presidential Election:
86% white
7% Hispanic of any race
2.5% Asian
2.5% other
2% black




Completely unsurprisingly, the states that "look" more like the Republican Party, or at least Republican voters, seem to be Utah, Idaho, Wyoming and Nebraska.

Of course as Patrick97 suggested many people who vote Republican are not actually registered Republicans.

While I suspect "registered Republicans" (or, more usefully, people who regularly vote in GOP primaries and caucuses, as some states don't have partisan registration) are slightly more White than GOP electoral coalitions, I am not 100% sure.  For all of these minorities who might not consider themselves Republicans but voted GOP in 2016 or 2018, surely there are a decent number of minorities who DO usually consider themselves Republicans and voted for Clinton in 2016 or Democratic in 2018, too.

Probably there are a lot more of the latter given how Vietnamese, Cuban, etc. immigrants swung in 2016.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2020, 03:32:43 PM »
« Edited: August 20, 2020, 03:36:32 PM by Biden/Abrams Voter »

The GOP electorate is north of 90% white.

In 2016, reagente found Trump's electorate to be 91% white, while my findings had it at 93%.

I found Romney's 2012 electorate to be 93% white as well (inferred from the original purpose for those calcs). It shouldn't be too surprising that Romney and Trump's electorates could have been equally white: Trump almost certainly did worse with non-black minority voters than Romney (despite exit poll claims), while he definitely did better with black voters.

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kph14
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2020, 09:52:06 AM »

The GOP electorate is north of 90% white.

In 2016, reagente found Trump's electorate to be 91% white, while my findings had it at 93%.

I found Romney's 2012 electorate to be 93% white as well (inferred from the original purpose for those calcs). It shouldn't be too surprising that Romney and Trump's electorates could have been equally white: Trump almost certainly did worse with non-black minority voters than Romney (despite exit poll claims), while he definitely did better with black voters.



White or non-Hispanic white?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: August 22, 2020, 11:08:43 PM »

The GOP electorate is north of 90% white.

In 2016, reagente found Trump's electorate to be 91% white, while my findings had it at 93%.

I found Romney's 2012 electorate to be 93% white as well (inferred from the original purpose for those calcs). It shouldn't be too surprising that Romney and Trump's electorates could have been equally white: Trump almost certainly did worse with non-black minority voters than Romney (despite exit poll claims), while he definitely did better with black voters.

White or non-Hispanic white?

Non-Hispanic white.
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Samof94
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« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2020, 06:37:23 AM »

In Texas, the GOP electorate pre Trump was about 1/3 Latino. Arizona was similar to Texas.
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #10 on: September 07, 2020, 07:11:48 AM »

In Texas, the GOP electorate pre Trump was about 1/3 Latino. Arizona was similar to Texas.

Literally impossible. Not even the total electorate is 1/3 Latino realistically.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #11 on: September 07, 2020, 08:34:28 AM »
« Edited: September 07, 2020, 09:36:07 AM by Save the Children from Powerful Men »

No evidence to suggest such (at least in presidential elections). Even Clinton's was only 32% Latino (Obama's was 34% in '12).

In 2016, Trump's TX electorate was 84% white, 12% Latino.

In 2008, McCain's was 83% white, 13% Latino.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #12 on: September 07, 2020, 10:18:46 AM »

Pretty consistently ~90% white.
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #13 on: September 07, 2020, 11:19:11 AM »

No evidence to suggest such (at least in presidential elections). Even Clinton's was only 32% Latino (Obama's was 34% in '12).

In 2016, Trump's TX electorate was 84% white, 12% Latino.

In 2008, McCain's was 83% white, 13% Latino.

Not sure if you have the data, but given the common claim that Bush lost latinos nationally by single digits; how was Bush's electorate in TX in 2004? He must have won among TX latinos if he was close nationally right?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #14 on: September 07, 2020, 11:24:28 AM »

No evidence to suggest such (at least in presidential elections). Even Clinton's was only 32% Latino (Obama's was 34% in '12).

In 2016, Trump's TX electorate was 84% white, 12% Latino.

In 2008, McCain's was 83% white, 13% Latino.

Not sure if you have the data, but given the common claim that Bush lost latinos nationally by single digits; how was Bush's electorate in TX in 2004? He must have won among TX latinos if he was close nationally right?

Only thing I can go on are the 2004 Texas exit polls (which show Kerry won Latinos in the state 50-49). Based on the same data, it would have been a 79% White, 16% Latino electorate. The white electorate back then was considerably larger and the Latino electorate considerably smaller, so even though Bush did quite a bit better with Latinos overall, it still didn't translate into them being a much larger share of the GOP electorate than present-day.
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #15 on: September 07, 2020, 09:22:05 PM »

85%-90%.
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