These Democratic internals are some of the worst and most obviously phony numbers I've seen in a long time. Somehow Biden up 13 here but only down 7 in Louisiana. People are suckers if they actually believe this stuff.
Donnelly won the district by 0.5% while losing statewide by about 6%.
So somehow Biden's going to outperform Donnelly by 12 when he only lost the state by 6. Basically implying Biden's going to win Indiana, which is completely impossible.
If Biden is up 13 here, then yes, that seems likely that he would only be down something like 7 in Louisiana statewide...
You obviously have to know that the national numbers do not line up anywhere near this. Biden would have to be obliterating Trump by 20+ nationally for these to make any sense.
Uniform swing is not a real thing. I don't fully buy these numbers either, but this is one part of the country one can expect to shift significanty toward Biden relative to the nation.
His point is do people really believe Lousiana will swing by 13 points towards Biden and Indiana 5th will swing by 20 points to Biden?