USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread (user search)
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  USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread  (Read 26475 times)
Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,790
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« on: August 19, 2020, 09:10:48 AM »
Trump's approval has undoubtedly gone up over the past few days but horserace numbers appear steady. Good poll for Biden here.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,790
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« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2020, 05:32:52 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on August 31, 2020, 05:17:05 PM
This pollster was bad in 2016, they are bad now.

The actual numbers are bs but they're very good at showing daily trends.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,790
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2020, 06:08:50 AM »
Looks as though there's been a trend towards Trump over the past few days. Had a feeling the woodward tape would counterintuitively help him, he was "trying to keep us safe and calm" they'll say.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,790
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2020, 05:03:01 AM »
10/2

Probabilistic:
Biden 51.1% (-0.2)
Trump 43.8% (+0.5)

Traditional:
Biden 51.7% (-0.4)
Trump 43.6% (+0.6)
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Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,790
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2020, 05:36:34 AM »
10/9

Probabilistic
Biden 53.1 (+0.3)
Trump 41.9 (-0.4)

Traditional
Biden 53.6 (+0.3)
Trump 41.4 (-0.5)
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Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,790
United States


« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2020, 05:29:53 AM »
Looks like Trump is making a big rebound. Very scared.
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Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,790
United States


« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 05:51:18 AM »
Quote from: tagimaucia on October 28, 2020, 12:18:16 PM
The 7-day average is actually surging right now, to a degree that I don't quite believe it + think there might be some kind of data problem again like the one they fixed a few weeks ago.  Look at my graph or compare the 14-day results today to those from 14 / 28 / 42 / etc. days ago and you'll see what I mean.

Yeah, the 7 day just reversed itself and then some, I'm just following the 14 day which is pretty stable.
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