USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread

[Hammy]

Another Trash Poll, also not included in the RCP average

Again Biden being up by 13 is just untrue and anyone can see that

Not a chance he could possibly be up that high

That's true because 7% aren't going to vote for "Undecided" on the ballot. If you split the undecideds the way they fell in 2016 Biden's at between +6 and +8 in this poll which fits with current national polling.

[Hammy]

53-41 today.

Is this completely post-RNC?

It's also worth noticing that RCP hasn't entered a single one of these polls into their database after including them in the 2016 aggregate.

Isn't RCP basically Republican-owned?

[Hammy]

Another Trash Poll, also not included in the RCP average

Again Biden being up by 13 is just untrue and anyone can see that

Not a chance he could possibly be up that high

That's true because 7% aren't going to vote for "Undecided" on the ballot. If you split the undecideds the way they fell in 2016 Biden's at between +6 and +8 in this poll which fits with current national polling.

Don't undecideds actually mostly go to Biden when pushed?

They did in 2016 too--until it came time to actually vote. That's what I'm basing it on.

[Hammy]

First time I've checked this thread in awhile, what's the difference between probabilistic and traditional as far as methodology?