USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread
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Author Topic: USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread  (Read 26463 times)
tagimaucia
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« Reply #275 on: November 02, 2020, 02:12:35 PM »
Final 14-day track:

Probabilistic:

Biden 53.29 (+10.49)
Trump 42.8

Traditional:

Biden 54.03 (+11.79)
Trump 42.24


My best estimate of the (adjusted for cohort) final 7-day track:

Probabilistic:

Biden 53.17 (+10.07)
Trump 53.11

Traditional:

Biden 54.46 (+12.17)
Trump 42.29
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VAR
VARepublican
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« Reply #276 on: November 03, 2020, 05:56:51 AM »
Probabilistic: Biden +10.9
Biden 53.5 (+0.2)
Trump 42.6 (-0.2)

Traditional: Biden +12.2
Biden 54.3 (+0.3)
Trump 41.1 (-0.1)
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Granite City
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« Reply #277 on: November 03, 2020, 06:10:47 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on November 03, 2020, 05:56:51 AM
Probabilistic: Biden +10.9
Biden 53.5 (+0.2)
Trump 42.6 (-0.2)

Traditional: Biden +12.2
Biden 54.3 (+0.3)
Trump 41.1 (-0.1)

The Sasha Obama TikTok bump finally kicked in
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