USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread
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Author Topic: USC/Dornsife tracking poll megathread  (Read 26466 times)
Roll Roons
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« Reply #200 on: October 03, 2020, 03:21:41 PM »

Damn, hopefully the freshman Statistics 101 students at USC who messed this up don't get a failing grade now! Sad

It's not called the University of Spoiled Children (alternatively, the University of Scandal and Corruption) for nothing!
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #201 on: October 03, 2020, 03:25:22 PM »

LOL.
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republican1993
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« Reply #202 on: October 03, 2020, 03:25:55 PM »

they really ruined my day on this one!  Unamused
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tjstarling
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« Reply #203 on: October 03, 2020, 03:30:57 PM »

This poll is a neat idea in theory, but it’s been a mess in practice
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #204 on: October 03, 2020, 06:57:28 PM »

Damn, hopefully the freshman Statistics 101 students at USC who messed this up don't get a failing grade now! Sad

It's not called the University of Spoiled Children (alternatively, the University of Scandal and Corruption) for nothing!

As a UCLA alumnus, I chuckle.
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kireev
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« Reply #205 on: October 03, 2020, 08:15:49 PM »

Lol jk, Biden up 10:



Biden is at all-time high on 10/2.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #206 on: October 03, 2020, 11:22:38 PM »

Wait, what was the old score before the correction?
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #207 on: October 03, 2020, 11:38:59 PM »

Wait, what was the old score before the correction?
I don’t want to sound rude but...just read the tweet above.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #208 on: October 04, 2020, 12:31:45 AM »

Wait, what was the old score before the correction?
I don’t want to sound rude but...just read the tweet above.

Oh duh, my brain read it as 7AM for some reason (thinking it was the time it was released)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #209 on: October 04, 2020, 05:45:12 AM »

Probablistic:
Biden 52.2% (-0.3)
Trump 42.7% (+0.3)

Traditional:
Biden 53.1% (-0.1)
Trump 42.2% (+0.2)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #210 on: October 05, 2020, 04:50:25 AM »

Probabilistic
Biden 52.2 (=)
Trump 42.7 (=)

Traditional
Biden 53.4 (+0.3)
Trump 41.7 (-0.5)
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Dr. Frankenstein
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« Reply #211 on: October 05, 2020, 07:34:54 AM »

Probabilistic
Biden 52.2 (=)
Trump 42.7 (=)

Traditional
Biden 53.4 (+0.3)
Trump 41.7 (-0.5)


There is a slight change:

Biden 52.58 (+0.4)
Trump 42.33 (-0.4)
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Rand
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« Reply #212 on: October 05, 2020, 07:38:25 AM »

Probabilistic
Biden 52.2 (=)
Trump 42.7 (=)

Traditional
Biden 53.4 (+0.3)
Trump 41.7 (-0.5)


There is a slight change:

Biden 52.58 (+0.4)
Trump 42.33 (-0.4)

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tagimaucia
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« Reply #213 on: October 05, 2020, 07:59:27 AM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #214 on: October 05, 2020, 08:16:18 AM »



How do you get 0.625 of a voter?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #215 on: October 05, 2020, 08:16:21 AM »



1.5% between Hawkins, Jorgensen, and West in total sounds about right for the end result.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #216 on: October 05, 2020, 08:48:55 AM »



How do you get 0.625 of a voter?

It's called a Ginsu knife, GM. 
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #217 on: October 06, 2020, 05:07:12 AM »

Probabilistic
Biden 52.8 (+0.2)
Trump 42.3 (=)

Traditional
Biden 53.5 (+0.1)
Trump 41.7 (=)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #218 on: October 07, 2020, 05:52:02 AM »

Probablistic:

Biden 52.6% (-0.2)
Trump 42.4% (+0.1)

Traditional:

Biden 53.0% (-0.5)
Trump 42.0% (+0.3)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #219 on: October 07, 2020, 06:18:57 AM »

We haven't seen one TX poll, HEGAR should be up on Cornyn if it was double digits
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #220 on: October 07, 2020, 06:42:21 AM »

Probablistic:

Biden 52.6% (-0.2)
Trump 42.4% (+0.1)

Traditional:

Biden 53.0% (-0.5)
Trump 42.0% (+0.3)

Is this the "I will sign a stimulus bill, Nancy" bump or the Twitter meltdown bump?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #221 on: October 08, 2020, 04:57:10 AM »

Probabilistic
Biden 53.1 (+0.5)
Trump 42.1 (-0.3)

Traditional
Biden 53.7 (+0.7)
Trump 41.6 (-0.4)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #222 on: October 09, 2020, 05:00:42 AM »

Probabilistic
Biden 52.8 (-0.3)
Trump 42.3 (+0.2)

Traditional
Biden 53.3 (-0.4)
Trump 41.9 (+0.3)
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Horus
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« Reply #223 on: October 10, 2020, 05:36:34 AM »

10/9

Probabilistic
Biden 53.1 (+0.3)
Trump 41.9 (-0.4)

Traditional
Biden 53.6 (+0.3)
Trump 41.4 (-0.5)
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Dumbo
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« Reply #224 on: October 10, 2020, 05:42:18 AM »


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