NC-ECU: Tied at 47
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  NC-ECU: Tied at 47
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Author Topic: NC-ECU: Tied at 47  (Read 1112 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: August 16, 2020, 04:50:11 PM »

North Carolina: East Carolina University, Aug. 12-13, 1255 RV

Biden 47, Trump 47

Cunningham 44, Tillis 40

Cooper 52, Forest 38

Trump approval: 46/49
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2020, 05:05:40 PM »

Interesting how far to the right of the country NC has been polling.  Biden would win it at just under +6 in the PV on a uniform swing from 2016, but he isn't consistently up in NC while polling at +8-9 in the PV. 
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Person Man
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2020, 05:06:56 PM »

Interesting how far to the right of the country NC has been polling.  Biden would win it at just under +6 in the PV on a uniform swing from 2016, but he isn't consistently up in NC while polling at +8-9 in the PV. 

It could be the type of local pollsters who are overestimating North Carolina and underestimating Florida.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2020, 05:17:02 PM »

Biden sweep in NC
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2020, 05:42:06 PM »

I'd like a clean sweep but if I had to choose on the races for Pres and the Senate, I would take the Cunningham win.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2020, 05:45:37 PM »

I'd like a clean sweep but if I had to choose on the races for Pres and the Senate, I would take the Cunningham win.

I agree. Biden doesn't need North Carolina but Democrats need its Senate seat.
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kph14
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2020, 05:56:33 PM »

49% disapproval for Trump, so there might be some Biden support hidden in those undecideds
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2020, 06:58:27 PM »

NC, SC, GA and FL has enough AA to get Biden across the finish line with Harris
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2020, 11:30:47 PM »

Never bought NC being (a lot) more winnable than FL/GA. Obviously Biden can win it with this kind of lead nationally, but itís nowhere near the tipping-point state and certainly doesnít look like itís going to be "the next VA."
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Badger
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« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2020, 06:58:56 AM »

Interesting how far to the right of the country NC has been polling.  Biden would win it at just under +6 in the PV on a uniform swing from 2016, but he isn't consistently up in NC while polling at +8-9 in the PV. 

This looks like a pretty consistent Biden lead to me.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2020/polls.php?fips=37
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2020, 09:47:38 AM »

Pure tossup. I'm very confident Tillis is underperform Trump by significant margin (>2 pts).
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #11 on: August 24, 2020, 08:45:55 AM »

Other candidate 3%
Undecided 4%

MoE: 3.2%
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