MN-Emerson: Smith +3
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  MN-Emerson: Smith +3
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Author Topic: MN-Emerson: Smith +3  (Read 1624 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: August 11, 2020, 11:09:05 AM »

48% Tina Smith (D, inc.)
45% Jason Lewis (R)

PRES: Biden +3 (50% Biden, 47% Trump)

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/minnesota-2020-north-star-state-in-play-for-presidential-and-us-senate-races
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2020, 11:17:03 AM »

Lol
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WD
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2020, 11:19:54 AM »

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2020, 11:23:52 AM »

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ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2020, 11:27:48 AM »

Jason Lewis was DOA in 2018.
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Gracile
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2020, 11:29:42 AM »

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andjey
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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2020, 11:31:34 AM »

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2020, 11:31:39 AM »

It appears Emerson has made a conscious choice to appeal to the Rasmussen/Trafalgar/McLaughlin crowd.
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ηєω Éяσηтιєя
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« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2020, 11:40:19 AM »

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Left Wing
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« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2020, 11:59:10 AM »

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2020, 01:13:17 PM »

A sign that Minnesota is zooming rightward. Biden will probably win it this time, but I wouldn't be surprised if it went red in 2024.
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2020, 01:19:33 PM »

At this point the Lewis campaign is being ignored and left to fend for itself by GOP groups. If this doesn't change in the next few weeks it could be a sign that this poll doesn't match NRSC and other R internals (or else Senate Republicans are truly in serious trouble nationwide).
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lfromnj
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« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2020, 01:22:19 PM »

A bit R friendly but as I stated earlier I hate the meme that Tina Smith = UNBEATABLE TITAN and Jason Lewis = sexist weak candidate.
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SenatorCouzens
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« Reply #13 on: August 11, 2020, 01:23:39 PM »

I've seen knowledge people on twitter recently dismiss Emerson polls, but it's rating on 538 is A- and it has essentially no bias (D +.3). Did something recently change with them? Thanks!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: August 11, 2020, 02:23:43 PM »

Tina Smith is a bland candidate unlike Klobuchar and Franken, this will be her first time with a full term, that's why she is struggling
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Woody
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« Reply #15 on: August 11, 2020, 02:34:32 PM »

Toss up.

Smith herself admits that she's in danger:
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Astatine
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« Reply #16 on: August 11, 2020, 02:36:45 PM »

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« Reply #17 on: August 11, 2020, 02:38:43 PM »

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VAR
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« Reply #18 on: August 11, 2020, 02:39:43 PM »

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ERM64man
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« Reply #19 on: August 11, 2020, 02:50:29 PM »

Doesn't Emerson lean GOP?
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #20 on: August 11, 2020, 04:49:48 PM »

MN Democrats really have a knack for raising money online and elsewhere. It most likely will end up in single digits, but I am guessing their internal polling most definitively show a wider lead for Smith.

Right now Smith seems to have a 5:1 financial advantage based solely on campaign FEC filings. Lewis is going to need to fundraise fast to avoid getting buried like most MN Republicans in 2018. 
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Yoda
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« Reply #21 on: August 11, 2020, 06:26:41 PM »

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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #22 on: August 11, 2020, 07:57:44 PM »

Toss up.

Smith herself admits that she's in danger:


You know candidates constantly cherrypick the polls showing a close race for fundraising purposes... right?

Oh what am I saying? Of course you donít.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #23 on: August 12, 2020, 06:35:49 AM »

Less laughable than this thread suggests considering most recent polls (some of admittedly iffy quality) and the 538 forecast for presidential numbers (Biden 51, Trump 47). Lewis isnít a bad candidate compared to GOP nominees in races that should have been similarly competitive (Ronchetti and Bolduc/Messner).
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #24 on: August 12, 2020, 07:45:29 AM »

Toss up.

Smith herself admits that she's in danger:



It's been fascinating to see politicians not flaunt their high poll numbers but fearmonger about their low ones to fundraise and scare their base into voting. That's smart of her and better than being delusionally confident and doing nothing. I see this much more increasingly now (including those coordinated RNC commercials about a Dem Senate takeover) and that's probably a good thing.
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