Monmouth: Biden +10

[Skye]

Biden 51
Trump 41
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 1

Trump fav: 40/54 (46 very unfav.)
Biden fav: 42/47

"How likely are you to cast your vote by mail [...]"

Dem: Likely 72, Not likely 27
Ind: Likely 48, Not likely 51
Rep: Likely 22, Not likely 75 (!!!)

The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from August 6 to 10, 2020 with a national random sample of 868 adults age 18 and older, in English. This includes 302 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 566 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone. The results in this poll release are based on a subsample of 785 registered voters.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_081120/

[WD]

Damn look at that executive order bump

[Gass3268]

They've been pretty consistant since May.

[CellarDoor]

It goes without saying but an incumbent president receiving only 41% of the vote in a high-quality poll less than 3 months from election day is really bad.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Just over 1 in 5 registered voters (22%), though, do not have a favorable opinion of either candidate. Biden is the preferred presidential choice among this group by 55% to 17%.

[American2020]

It goes without saying but an incumbent president receiving only 41% of the vote in a high-quality poll less than 3 months from election day is really bad.

Furthermore, many states such as NC, MI and PA will begin to vote on September.

[WD]

Also once again, Trump’s approval numbers directly correlate with his GE numbers, while Biden way out preforms his numbers.

Trump’s approval-40%, Trump gets 41% against Biden
Biden’s Approval-42%, Biden gets 51% against Trump.

Outside of his core base, Trump doesn’t have much support.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Just over 1 in 5 registered voters (22%), though, do not have a favorable opinion of either candidate. Biden is the preferred presidential choice among this group by 55% to 17%.

Seems to support the notion that people have generally made up their minds - - that there isn't this big pool of undecided voters that will swing the election one way or the other a la 2016.  

[CellarDoor]

Just over 1 in 5 registered voters (22%), though, do not have a favorable opinion of either candidate. Biden is the preferred presidential choice among this group by 55% to 17%.

The nice thing about this is that every single poll I've seen that has provided similar analysis has found the same result.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

ThE rAcE iS tIgTenInG

[MT Treasurer]

Trump has been finished for more than three years now, it’s only a matter of the size of the defeat and down-ballot implications. I’m personally way more interested in the Senate than the presidential race.

Also seems to confirm my suspicion that the tipping-point state (in addition to most other competitive states) is going to be even more Republican than the popular vote this year than it was four years ago.

[Gass3268]

They've been pretty consistant since May.

Trump has been stuck at 41% in this poll since May!

[wbrocks67]

ThE rAcE iS tIgTenInG

Yeah, the Nates and Harry and Sean T and whoever else are looking ridiculous right now. If anything, this race has been incredibly stable for months now

[psychprofessor]

If you're losing Indies by close to 20 you aren't winning an election.

[Alben Barkley]

Major self-own for Trump to turn vote by mail into a partisan issue. Unless he thought he had no shot anyway so the only chance to steal the election was to cast doubt on the process.

[Gass3268]

Biden is winning swing counties (those that were within ten points in 2016) 51-37.

[Bidenworth2020]

This poll is less democrat and college educated than the July poll. Combine that with the MoE and there appears to be almost zero movement in this race.

[wbrocks67]

This poll is less democrat and college educated than the July poll. Combine that with the MoE and there appears to be almost zero movement in this race.

Yep. Trump has 41% for the last 3 polls now, and he's also at 50% among voters who absolutely will not vote for him - exact same as last month.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/RachelBitecofer/status/1293225936742158342

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Terrible numbers for Trump

[ProudModerate2]

A double-digit lead by a 538 A+ pollster.
Yes!!

[BobbieMac]

I think the final result will be Biden +10.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Still hardly any Rs responding especially SN, in the polls board, Trump is in the same place he was in June during Floyd protests

[Progressive Pessimist]

No raiding disaster relief funds and starving grandparents in the future bump for Trump? How expected.

Anyway, this poll is quite satisfying though I'm sure Trump and the GOP are salivating over how many Democrats plan to vote by mail, it's probably just reinforcing their drive to suppress votes and weaken the postal service.