GA-SurveyUSA: Perdue +3, Loeffler +9 (user search)
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  GA-SurveyUSA: Perdue +3, Loeffler +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-SurveyUSA: Perdue +3, Loeffler +9  (Read 1075 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« on: August 11, 2020, 12:03:01 PM »

Lieberman really needs to drop out. He's been below Warnock in numerous polls now.

I agree Warnock will be ahead on Election Day, but looking at the polls from June:

MRG (D): Warnock +10
PPP (D): Warnock +9
Gravis (OANN/R): Warnock +7
Battleground Connect (R): Lieberman+5
Spry Strategies (R): Warnock doesn’t register (this would presumably mean he got less than 5%, but perhaps they just omitted him)
Monmouth: Lieberman +5
HIT Strategies (D): tie
This one: Warnock +4

To make this argument, Warnock probably needs a run showing him clearly ahead. He hasn’t even managed a six-poll streak yet (including the last from May, he’s managed a maximum of four in a row).
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2020, 12:07:16 PM »

I genuinely cannot understand the obsession on Atlas with this race.
GA-SEN and GA-SEN* are the most foregone conclusions of them all, worse than Texas or Kentucky.

Nobody will hit 50 in November in either race, the races will go to a runoff and, barring a Trump surprise, young Democrats won't bother to show up in January.
Deep down, you know that's right, you've met those voters, they're everywhere. They don't understand the Senate and they won't care anymore if Biden wins.

These are the most overrated races in 2020.

Why do people keep saying that Dems don't turn out for GA specials? 2018's GA special had nearly the same margin as the Gov race

If Trump has lost, some Democrats will get complacent. Many vote primarily because they fear a Republican administration, not a divided one (the same holds true for Republicans if Trump wins).
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