GA-SurveyUSA: Perdue +3, Loeffler +9

[VAR]

Loeffler 26%
Collins 17%
Warnock 17%
Lieberman 13%
Tarver 3%

Perdue 44%
Ossoff 41%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=4b9009c4-ef1d-4774-a211-0c4402738ec8

[wbrocks67]

Lieberman really needs to drop out. He's been below Warnock in numerous polls now.

Perdue can't seem to crack 45% in many polls, and it appears Ossoff can close the gap just by getting name ID / more Biden voters voting for him.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Yeah, the regular's numbers aren't bad. Perdue gets the same 44% as Trump. If Biden wins the state he will probably drag Ossoff with him over the finish line.

[VAR]

Yeah, the regular's numbers aren't bad. Perdue gets the same 44% as Trump. If Biden wins the state he will probably drag Ossoff with him over the finish line.

Perdue is underperforming among Republicans. He would be at 46.6% if he’d got the same % of Republicans as Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The races dont even matter in GA Trump wins, and Rs will sweep both runoffs. If Trump loses, all bets are off and Ds sweep

[Skye]

Interesting how Loeffler has taken the lead. It looked like she was DOA not too long ago.

[Sir Mohamed]

Lieberman seriously needs to drop out.

[Epaminondas]

I genuinely cannot understand the obsession on Atlas with this race.
GA-SEN and GA-SEN* are the most foregone conclusions of them all, worse than Texas or Kentucky.

Nobody will hit 50 in November in either race, the races will go to a runoff and, barring a Trump surprise, young Democrats won't bother to show up in January.
Deep down, you know that's right, you've met those voters, they're everywhere. They don't understand the Senate and they won't care anymore if Biden wins.

These are the most overrated races in 2020.

[wbrocks67]

I genuinely cannot understand the obsession on Atlas with this race.
GA-SEN and GA-SEN* are the most foregone conclusions of them all, worse than Texas or Kentucky.

Nobody will hit 50 in November in either race, the races will go to a runoff and, barring a Trump surprise, young Democrats won't bother to show up in January.
Deep down, you know that's right, you've met those voters, they're everywhere. They don't understand the Senate and they won't care anymore if Biden wins.

These are the most overrated races in 2020.

Why do people keep saying that Dems don't turn out for GA specials? 2018's GA special had nearly the same margin as the Gov race

[ProgressiveModerate]

Both likely R. I think no one will win either race outright, they both go to runoff, and Rs win because Ds get complacent (Democrats tend to have terrible turnout in GA in off years)

[WD]

Both likely R. I think no one will win either race outright, they both go to runoff, and Rs win because Ds get complacent (Democrats tend to have terrible turnout in GA in off years)

Ossoff can easily win outright. There aren’t many 3rd party candidates, so if Biden carries the state Ossoff will win as well.

[Tender Branson]

Löffler-comeback ?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Interesting how Loeffler has taken the lead. It looked like she was DOA not too long ago.

I think she has spent by far the most money on the airwaves until now.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Lieberman really needs to drop out. He's been below Warnock in numerous polls now.

I agree Warnock will be ahead on Election Day, but looking at the polls from June:

MRG (D): Warnock +10
PPP (D): Warnock +9
Gravis (OANN/R): Warnock +7
Battleground Connect (R): Lieberman+5
Spry Strategies (R): Warnock doesn’t register (this would presumably mean he got less than 5%, but perhaps they just omitted him)
Monmouth: Lieberman +5
HIT Strategies (D): tie
This one: Warnock +4

To make this argument, Warnock probably needs a run showing him clearly ahead. He hasn’t even managed a six-poll streak yet (including the last from May, he’s managed a maximum of four in a row).

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I genuinely cannot understand the obsession on Atlas with this race.
GA-SEN and GA-SEN* are the most foregone conclusions of them all, worse than Texas or Kentucky.

Nobody will hit 50 in November in either race, the races will go to a runoff and, barring a Trump surprise, young Democrats won't bother to show up in January.
Deep down, you know that's right, you've met those voters, they're everywhere. They don't understand the Senate and they won't care anymore if Biden wins.

These are the most overrated races in 2020.

Why do people keep saying that Dems don't turn out for GA specials? 2018's GA special had nearly the same margin as the Gov race

If Trump has lost, some Democrats will get complacent. Many vote primarily because they fear a Republican administration, not a divided one (the same holds true for Republicans if Trump wins).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Trump loses, Ds are gonna win 1 or both of these

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Warnick will make it. Lieberman can stay in all he wants but no one is voting for him after this scandal has leaked.