AZ-Trafalgar: Trump+1 (user search)
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  AZ-Trafalgar: Trump+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-Trafalgar: Trump+1  (Read 1027 times)
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« on: August 10, 2020, 09:40:07 PM »

I wish we would stop talking about accuracy of pollsters, especially pollsters with lower quality methods, in previous elections.  When we talk about accuracy we are only looking at the last poll a polling outfit released for a given election.

What's to stop partisan polling outfits from releasing shady polls throughout the election cycle (pushing a narrative favorable to their party) only to revert to acceptible/normal practices for their final polls (on which they are judged)?

I'm not as cynical as most, but given how polarized our country has become and given what we have seen out of some polling outfits recently, I can't rule this out.  

By that logic we should just stop talking about polls entirely.

I don't think so.  There are some pollsters that have a clearly defined, time tested methodology.  There are others that don't.  I'm just suggesting that we take the former seriously and dismiss the rest of the stuff.

How about dismissing/removing internals & any poll that's not rated A/B by FiveThirtyEight?
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