Monmouth-IA: RV-Trump +3 | LV-Trump +2 or Tied

[WD]

See username. This is a Safe R state that is masquerading as a battleground state due to Trump's horrible numbers nationwide. The fact that Biden can't lead here in any credible polls despite Trump's clown show shows how dire the situation here is for Democrats. Add on to this that Democrats have performed worse in Iowa than polling indicates.

Texas is more likely to flip than Iowa, but people won't acknowledge that fact until it actually happens.

The state went from an 3-R to 3-D House delegation in 2018. That doesn't sound at all safe Republican.

Those districts were all won by Trump by less than 5. They only won the House popular vote because King massively underperformed in IA-04, while Trump will likely win that by double digits. “3-1 D delegation” is not a good argument for why IA is still competitive.

Trump will likely win the state, the only race worth investing here for the Dems is the Senate.

[WD]

See username. This is a Safe R state that is masquerading as a battleground state due to Trump's horrible numbers nationwide. The fact that Biden can't lead here in any credible polls despite Trump's clown show shows how dire the situation here is for Democrats. Add on to this that Democrats have performed worse in Iowa than polling indicates.

Texas is more likely to flip than Iowa, but people won't acknowledge that fact until it actually happens.

The state went from an 3-R to 3-D House delegation in 2018. That doesn't sound at all safe Republican.

Those districts were all won by Trump by less than 5. They only won the House popular vote because King massively underperformed in IA-04, while Trump will likely win that by double digits. “3-1 D delegation” is not a good argument for why IA is still competitive.

Trump will likely win the state, the only race worth investing here for the Dems is the Senate.

I'm talking about the individual races. If Iowa was a safe Republican as some people make it out to be then Democrats should have lost all three of those races by double digits.

Holding Congressional seats doesn’t always translate to statewide performance. Republicans in CO hold 3 house seats yet the state is Likely/ Safe D on the statewide level.