Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon: NV Sen. Ensign (R) 60%, Carter (D) 27%

[Adlai Stevenson]

From Politics1:

Incumbent John Ensign (R) leads investment consultant Jack Carter (D) by a 60% to 27% vote. Race Rating: GOP Safe.

[Sam Spade]

Unless Goodman gets in the race, this is not a seat that will be competitive come 2006, regardless of what some on the forum might say.

[Sam Spade]

Should have added a link to the poll, since there isn't one in the lead post:

http://www.lasvegassun.com/sunbin/stories/nevada/2006/apr/10/041010863.html

[Adlai Stevenson]

O I am sorry.  I didn't know where to look.

[Sam Spade]

O I am sorry.  I didn't know where to look.

Don't worry about it. 

I wasn't castigating you or anything, just talking to myself for not putting up a link in my first post when I knew there was one. 

[WalterMitty]

27%?  that is about what his daddy got in nevada?

[Gustaf]

27%?  that is about what his daddy got in nevada?

26.89% in 1980, so yeah, pretty much spot on. IN all fairness, he did get 45% v 50% for Ford in 1976 though.

[WMS]

27%?  that is about what his daddy got in nevada?

26.89% in 1980, so yeah, pretty much spot on. IN all fairness, he did get 45% v 50% for Ford in 1976 though.

Yes, the Mob didn't like Carter much, did they?

[Soaring Eagle]

I used to be under the delusion that Carter could win. Silly me.

[True Democrat]

I say Ensign gets anywhere from 59-72%, but that's just a guess.  More likely he'll somewhere around two thirds of the vote.

[Alcon]

I say Ensign gets anywhere from 59-72%, but that's just a guess.  More likely he'll somewhere around two thirds of the vote.

I think 72 percent is being a little more than too generous to Ensign.

[WalterMitty]

I say Ensign gets anywhere from 59-72%, but that's just a guess.  More likely he'll somewhere around two thirds of the vote.

I think 72 percent is being a little more than too generous to Ensign.

i agree.

nevada has become infested with deadbeats and transients.  carter can count on their votes.

[Alcon]

I say Ensign gets anywhere from 59-72%, but that's just a guess.  More likely he'll somewhere around two thirds of the vote.

I think 72 percent is being a little more than too generous to Ensign.

i agree.

nevada has become infested with deadbeats and transients.  carter can count on their votes.

I imagine that there is not a very high turnout among transients, or deadbeats for that matter.  The core Democratic constituency in Nevada is lower middle class service workers - whether or not you consider them deadbeats is up to you.  However, they are generally moderate (although more easily swayed to the right on social issues than economic ones), which is why Republicans can win Clark County by impressive margins when the moon is right.

[Flying Dog]

Ensign 58%
Carter 41%

[Gustaf]

I consider to be a bit of a token candidacy. Whether Nevada is closely enough aligned to give that kind of candidacy more than 40%, I don't know, but I'm sceptical.