Morning Consult: Biden +1 in Texas, Trump +5 (SC), +24 (KY), +22 (AL) (user search)
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  Morning Consult: Biden +1 in Texas, Trump +5 (SC), +24 (KY), +22 (AL) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult: Biden +1 in Texas, Trump +5 (SC), +24 (KY), +22 (AL)  (Read 2353 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: August 04, 2020, 05:10:21 PM »

Hm, KY and AL seem a little too pro-Trump (only a 5-6% shift from 2016?), but TX lines up with everything we've seen, and SC has seemed like a mid/high single digits race, so that one lines up too.

You know universal swing isn’t a thing right? Biden’s Swing is obviously going to be a lot less in the rural parts of the south.

Don't be condescending. Obviously I realize that. But you would think if Biden was winning 8-10 nationally, and considering he's a way better candidate for places like KY and AL compared to HRC, you'd think he'd be faring a little better than a 5-6 pt swing.

Well, no, obviously you do not realize that if you think Biden will do better than a 5-6 pt swing virtually everywhere, but only win by 8-10 points nationally. What are some states where you think he’ll do far worse than an 8- to 10-point improvement over Clinton 2016, if KY of all places isn’t even one of them?
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