MI-PPP: Biden +6

[Hammy]

Closer than I'd like, but I take it. Uncle Joe at nearly 50% is certainly a good sign. Most polls H-dog led by six were lower.

The last Michigan PPP poll before election day in 2016 was Clinton +6 w/3rd parties:
Clinton was at 50% and Trump was at 44.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/PPP_Release_COMIVA_110416.pdf

This is literally 2016 over again.

2016 was not a head to head race. In the end their margin was R+5 relative to the actual results if you poll the race that actually existed (four candidates), and more specifically as I've pointed out polls with the winner at 46% are useless. Clinton was underpolled by 1% and Trump by 6%.

PPP has a horrible D bias but even here if you want to give them the same error as 2016, Biden would win 50-49.

[Hammy]

Please don't tell me people, all of a sudden, are undecided.

Combination of statistical noise and the "undecided" Trump voters coming home. Undecideds were relatively low in this poll