MI-PPP: Biden +6
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  MI-PPP: Biden +6
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Author Topic: MI-PPP: Biden +6  (Read 1896 times)
Badger
badger
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« Reply #25 on: August 04, 2020, 03:23:48 PM »

Closer than I'd like, but I take it. Uncle Joe at nearly 50% is certainly a good sign. Most polls H-dog led by six were lower.
The last Michigan PPP poll before election day in 2016 was Clinton +6 w/3rd parties:
Clinton was at 50% and Trump was at 44.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/PPP_Release_COMIVA_110416.pdf

This is literally 2016 over again.

2016 was not a head to head race. In the end their margin was R+5 relative to the actual results if you poll the race that actually existed (four candidates), and more specifically as I've pointed out polls with the winner at 46% are useless. Clinton was underpolled by 1% and Trump by 6%.

PPP has a horrible D bias but even here if you want to give them the same error as 2016, Biden would win 50-49.

PPP is indeed a democratic polling outfit, but i r c there in House lien for Democrats in polling results is negligible.
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