MA-JMC: Markey +4/+3 in primary (user search)
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  MA-JMC: Markey +4/+3 in primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: MA-JMC: Markey +4/+3 in primary  (Read 1556 times)
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
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« on: July 31, 2020, 12:56:33 PM »
« edited: July 31, 2020, 01:31:20 PM by MillennialModerate »

Rooting for Markey, but I'm expecting a Kennedy win in the mid or high single digits. Unfortunately.

Speaking as someone who actually knows this state and what’s going on - on the ground. It’s evident that complacency combined with (IDK how else to say it) uninformed voters - has made this thing LIKELY Markey.

It’s frankly embarrassing. This isn’t Warren we’re talking about. It’s ED MARKEY. Against a young and talented politician who is ALSO a Kennedy and Markey is going to win? I almost feel as pathetic as Tennesseee who voted Blackburn over Bredesen.
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MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2020, 02:36:40 PM »

Yeah no.

But seriously, I think the poll has a bad weighing problem with education.  I don't think the different from Super Tuesday to this primary is going to be more than 20% like this is suggesting. 

I was talking to someone who works for the campaign who says:

• The race is tightened for sure. That they concede.
• You nailed it on education, they think the poll has major problems because of that very issue
• Turnout will be the difference, all things being equal JK still wins - but if turnout isn’t on point then it could go to Markey

Now I don’t agree with what he said to me. I’m far more pessimistic but we’ll see
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MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2020, 10:56:14 AM »

I feel like I'm the only one here who wants Kennedy to win lol

You’d have to be blind reading this forum to not see how badly I want Kennedy to win. If Trump wasn’t the President I would care more about this race than the POTUS. I’m the biggest Kennedy supporter there is and at the same time I just happen to not be a Markey guy AT ALL - so I’m about as much on one side of a primary as is possible
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MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2020, 02:22:39 PM »

I feel like I'm the only one here who wants Kennedy to win lol

Why do you want Kennedy to win?  Can you name a policy position where you favor him over Markey?

Why does there have to be a policy position difference? Why can’t someone simply trust Kennedy to do a better job. Why can’t someone simply like the amount of energy JK3 brings to the campaign more than Markey who against is fairly non existent around these parts.

The whole dont challenge an incumbent thing makes sense at the Presedential level. And maybe in states where a Senate race is a tossup and challenging the incumbent could tilt the race. But in a Safe state where it bears no effect on what party holds the seat - who cares ?
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