MA-JMC: Markey +4/+3 in primary
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  MA-JMC: Markey +4/+3 in primary		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: MA-JMC: Markey +4/+3 in primary  (Read 1543 times)
Skye
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« on: July 31, 2020, 09:52:33 AM »
Markey 40
Kennedy 36

w/ leaners

Markey 44
Kennedy 41

https://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Massachusetts-Senate-Dem-Executive-Summary.pdf
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2020, 09:55:14 AM »
A lot better than I was expecting.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2020, 09:57:50 AM »
Markey momentum!
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2020, 09:57:54 AM »
YOU F**KING LOVE TO SEE IT!
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2020, 10:03:02 AM »
Markeymentum!
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Babeuf
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2020, 10:05:29 AM »
Shocked but very happy about this.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2020, 10:21:09 AM »
No wonder why Kennedy isnt talking about how good his poll numbers are or his fundraising
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Use Your Illusion
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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2020, 10:30:11 AM »
'Bout ing time we got something
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2020, 10:43:43 AM »
Oh yeah!!!

Awesome stuff! Markeymentum!
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Pollster
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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2020, 10:48:06 AM »
Finally some good data.

The last poll of this race showed Kennedy leading with registered Dems and Markey leading with unaffiliated/independents. That appears to be completely reversed here (good news for Markey, since registered Dems are the overwhelming majority of the electorate).

Markey's leads in Boston and Middlesex here are probably close to insurmountable if they hold.

Markey leads with college educated voters, which is critical in this state.

All signs here point to Markey clearly being favored.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2020, 10:59:57 AM »
Rooting for Markey, but I'm expecting a Kennedy win in the mid or high single digits. Unfortunately.
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Canis
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« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2020, 11:02:04 AM »
Ayyyye Lofi Ed in the lead
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andjey
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« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2020, 11:46:08 AM »
Great news!
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #13 on: July 31, 2020, 12:56:33 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2020, 01:31:20 PM by MillennialModerate »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 31, 2020, 10:59:57 AM
Rooting for Markey, but I'm expecting a Kennedy win in the mid or high single digits. Unfortunately.

Speaking as someone who actually knows this state and what’s going on - on the ground. It’s evident that complacency combined with (IDK how else to say it) uninformed voters - has made this thing LIKELY Markey.

It’s frankly embarrassing. This isn’t Warren we’re talking about. It’s ED MARKEY. Against a young and talented politician who is ALSO a Kennedy and Markey is going to win? I almost feel as pathetic as Tennesseee who voted Blackburn over Bredesen.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #14 on: July 31, 2020, 01:20:19 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on July 31, 2020, 12:56:33 PM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 31, 2020, 10:59:57 AM
Rooting for Markey, but I'm expecting a Kennedy win in the mid or high single digits. Unfortunately.

Speaking as someone who actually knows trump is state and what’s going on - on the ground. It’s evident that complacency combined with (IDK how else to say it) uninformed voters - has made this thing LIKELY Markey.

It’s frankly embarrassing. This isn’t Warren we’re talking about. It’s ED MARKEY. Against a young and talented politician who is ALSO a Kennedy and Markey is going to win? I almost feel as pathetic as Tennesseee who voted Blackburn over Bredesen.

Uninformed voters are going for JKIII. That's his whole appeal.
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SWE
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« Reply #15 on: July 31, 2020, 02:40:36 PM »
Good job Massachusetts
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Roblox
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« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2020, 02:55:09 PM »
Go Ed!
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Use Your Illusion
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« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2020, 05:20:35 PM »
I guess Atlas isn't a big Kennedy fan then
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2020, 05:32:23 PM »
Markey is gonna win. Kennedy should prepare to run against Baker in 2022
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2020, 05:37:22 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2020, 05:43:15 PM by JerryArkansas »
Yeah no.

But seriously, I think the poll has a bad weighing problem with education.  I don't think the different from Super Tuesday to this primary is going to be more than 20% like this is suggesting. 
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Brittain33
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« Reply #20 on: August 02, 2020, 10:13:48 AM »
Quote from: KaiserDave on July 31, 2020, 01:20:19 PM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on July 31, 2020, 12:56:33 PM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 31, 2020, 10:59:57 AM
Rooting for Markey, but I'm expecting a Kennedy win in the mid or high single digits. Unfortunately.

Speaking as someone who actually knows trump is state and what’s going on - on the ground. It’s evident that complacency combined with (IDK how else to say it) uninformed voters - has made this thing LIKELY Markey.

It’s frankly embarrassing. This isn’t Warren we’re talking about. It’s ED MARKEY. Against a young and talented politician who is ALSO a Kennedy and Markey is going to win? I almost feel as pathetic as Tennesseee who voted Blackburn over Bredesen.

Uninformed voters are going for JKIII. That's his whole appeal.

Yes, my over-educated middle aged liberal peer group who all know who AOC is, are all voting Markey. My mom’s voting Markey because she’s unimpressed by Kennedy. It’s possible there’s a majority out there of people not like me voting Kennedy—may even be probable—but Markey’s support isn’t soft.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #21 on: August 02, 2020, 02:36:40 PM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on July 31, 2020, 05:37:22 PM
Yeah no.

But seriously, I think the poll has a bad weighing problem with education.  I don't think the different from Super Tuesday to this primary is going to be more than 20% like this is suggesting. 

I was talking to someone who works for the campaign who says:

• The race is tightened for sure. That they concede.
• You nailed it on education, they think the poll has major problems because of that very issue
• Turnout will be the difference, all things being equal JK still wins - but if turnout isn’t on point then it could go to Markey

Now I don’t agree with what he said to me. I’m far more pessimistic but we’ll see
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #22 on: August 02, 2020, 11:52:49 PM »
I feel like I'm the only one here who wants Kennedy to win lol
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Left Wing
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« Reply #23 on: August 03, 2020, 08:23:25 AM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on August 02, 2020, 11:52:49 PM
I feel like I'm the only one here who wants Kennedy to win lol
I do too
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Crane
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« Reply #24 on: August 03, 2020, 08:45:07 AM »
Unsurprising opinions from the previous three posters and all the more reason to support Markey.
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