TX - Quinnipiac: Cornyn +9
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  TX - Quinnipiac: Cornyn +9
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Author Topic: TX - Quinnipiac: Cornyn +9  (Read 980 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: July 22, 2020, 01:10:50 PM »

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=3667

John Cornyn (R) - 47%
MJ Hegar (D) - 38%

"When asked about opinions of the candidates, 41 percent hold a favorable opinion of Cornyn, 24 percent hold an unfavorable opinion of him, and 34 percent haven't heard enough about him.

For Hegar, 24 percent hold a favorable opinion, 19 percent unfavorable, and 56 percent haven't heard enough about her."
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PHARAOH BAKARI SELLERS
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2020, 01:15:37 PM »

Cornyn is safe
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2020, 01:21:22 PM »
« Edited: July 22, 2020, 01:26:04 PM by Oryxslayer »

Interestingly, Indies break in favor of Heger, 40-38. Undecided voters have more minoritys and younger people that whites and older people. Things might get tight in the fall if Heger can raise money.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2020, 01:24:56 PM »

Likely Republican. Texas could actually experience a major amount of ticket splitting; Joe Biden will do better than Hegar by several points. An opposite Montana if you will. It's all too unfortunate Beto wasted his time with a vanity presidential run instead of trying again in the senate. He would have been underdog as well, but done better than Hegar.
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olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2020, 01:26:38 PM »

Further proof that Castro would have made this state a tossup if he ran instead of Hegar🤩🤩🤩
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2020, 01:28:31 PM »

Cornyn will win by at least 5 points.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2020, 01:29:14 PM »

Interestingly, Indies break in favor of Heger, 40-38. Undecided voters have more minoritys and younger people that whites and older people. Things might get tight in the fall if Heger can raise money.
Agreed, I see this race as being like Iowa. If the airwaves in Texas get spammed the way the airwaves in Iowa did, then Hegar could easily come close or even win. Right now it's just a case of her being completely unknown. (A lot of the Cornyn voters are likely soft as well given that most dont have a strong opinion of him)
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WD
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« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2020, 01:31:02 PM »

Given the crosstabs undecideds are likely heavily Democratic. This race will tighten, and Cornyn won’t win by more than 3-4.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2020, 03:51:30 PM »

I knew anything involving a Texas poll thread would include olawakandi saying something stupid about Hegar
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PHARAOH BAKARI SELLERS
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2020, 03:53:32 PM »

I knew anything involving a Texas poll thread would include olawakandi saying something stupid about Hegar

I supported Royce West
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S019
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« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2020, 06:11:22 PM »

I knew anything involving a Texas poll thread would include olawakandi saying something stupid about Hegar

I supported Royce West

So, you supported the candidate who had poor fundraising? If Royce West was the nominee, there would be no way he'd be able to compete with Cornyn's cash advantage and a very competitive seat could have very well been thrown away.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2020, 06:17:17 PM »

Interesting to see where this goes once voters get more familiar with Hegar
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2020, 07:30:52 PM »

I knew anything involving a Texas poll thread would include olawakandi saying something stupid about Hegar

I supported Royce West

Stop being a douchebag and fall in line already Cory.
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Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2020, 09:19:11 PM »

Cornyn's actual decided voters are 3% higher than Trump's in this poll, which is a concern. Hegar is running 7% behind Biden though, so she probably does close the gap slightly. Cornyn is favored but it won't be a blowout.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2020, 12:56:34 AM »

I'd keep this one at either Tilt R or Lean R.

Hegar has the room to win, but she needs Biden to carry Texas (doable) and for there to be almost no crossover voting (harder).

Cornyn is a harder target than Ted Cruz, but this race is winnable.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2020, 01:48:05 PM »

Hogwash. If Cornyn wins it will be by .5
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2020, 05:34:57 PM »

New Poll: Texas Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2020-07-20

Summary: D: 38%, R: 47%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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