Utah 2020 Redistricting

[S019]

So, apparently there's no thread for this yet, anyways I put together two maps, which are probably the likeliest maps, a commission map, given UT has a commission, and a GOP gerrymander, if the GOP manages to strip the commission of its power or just chooses to ignore it, etc.

Commission map: https://davesredistricting.org/join/9035300e-a97a-4239-9cb7-82000b763bc7

GOP gerrymander: https://davesredistricting.org/join/9f8d6101-f019-45cd-a128-a284f8576808

In the commission map, Democrats get a safe D SLC seat, while the GOP gerrymander would split SLC into oblivion. That seat seems to be the main point of contention, given all of the other seats would be safely Republican given how blood red the state is outside of SLC. I don't expect there to be much discussion about this state, but given there are two competing proposals, I felt that it warrants a thread where we can discuss the proposals.

[S019]

The thread does exist, I made one a while back: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=384081.msg7471681#msg7471681, so going to report this so both get merged

[S019]

If I had to guess, I think Republicans will likely go for 3-0-1 in Utah? Utah is probably not republican enough anymore for a proper 4-0; and there is also no need to concede a full sink to the Dems. 3-0-1 seems like the likeliest option (indeed that is how the current map already behaves in practice, though I'd want to see the Trump vs Biden numbers by CD).

Trump+21, that's plenty red for a 4-0.  It's like drawing a 5-0 in CT.  The districts might not have equal partisanship, but they should be able to get everything to at least Trump+15.

Drawing a secure 5-0 in CT is very hard w/o splitting Hartford, anyways 4-0, but keeping one district probably Owens a tad more competitive (so like Likely R) might be the smart play

[S019]

The Green Team just maintained the current gerrymander more or less.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNcBu8SLAZ8

The green team included former representative Rob Bishop, so it shouldn't be cause for surprise.

Though trying to do a least change that way actually would make Chris Stewart upset since he lives in Farmington and he's one of our reps who currently actually lives in his district.

As for the others, the thing about setting people who haven't used mapping software before loose is that they come up with Galaxy brain district ideas.

Honestly if this map doesn't change, I wouldn't be too surprised if Republicans just use it to avoid overriding the commission.