What does this 2040 county map say about the country?

[CookieDamage]

Could be 2032, 36, 40, 44 whatever, doesn't matter.

What states go blue, which go red? What can be drawn from this map, what demographics are changing, shifting, or moving? Etc.

[CookieDamage]

Pretend Onondoga, NY is blue

[Roronoa D. Law]

I'm more confused on how Shelby, Greenville, and Denton are blue but Collin, New Hanover, and  Jefferson Parish are red.

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

Very curious how/why Lane County, OR flipped. Eugene is basically an overgrown college town.

[Gracile]

I don't see how some of those Maine coastal counties would remain Democratic given the shifts in New Hampshire and Vermont.

[Roll Roons]

Well, I guess Trump-era trends sadly just continued forever. Suburbs became even more Democratic, while rural and WWC areas turned increasingly Republican.

Though there is an unusual thing I noticed - WOW finally went blue but Kent (MI) stays red? Also a little surprised that all of Oldham, Campbell, Kenton and Franklin (KY) have stayed Republican, along with Williamson (TN), Collin (TX) and all of the counties surrounding St. Louis.

And honestly, it does not look like Republicans are really able to win national elections anymore. The blue counties are presumably more densely populated/seeing more growth and outvoting the red ones. That is true in most big states (California, Texas, New York, Illinois, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Virginia), with Florida being the only possible exception. Also, are universities a thing of the past? Why else would Alachua (FL) and Washtenaw (MI) be red?

[Devils30]

The Dems would win this map every time with FL, AZ, GA, TX blue.

[Agonized-Statism]

"Please help me I'm a talking 2040 county map"

[MATTROSE94]

It is interesting seeing my current home county (Monmouth County) voting Democratic. Based on where it stands now, Monmouth County should remain Republican for the foreseeable future due to its high proportion of white Catholic voters, as well as white working class voters in certain areas of it such as Keansburg, Union Beach (my hometown), Keyport, and the Atlantic Highlands.

[Orwell]

Washtenaw County home of Ann Arbor and the University of Michigan is confusing, Ingham county home of Michigan State University and Lansing, Kent county where Grand Valley and Grand Rapids is surprising too.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Shelby County, Alabama what the ing
Albany County, New York??? Especially compared with Erie County?

I guess there must have been some horrendous form of suburban sprawl provoked by a relocation of universities like U. of Oregon, U. of Michigan, Michigan State, Penn State, U. of Florida etc. to places like the DC metropolitan area or the Lake Michigan conurbation.

For the rest, mostly 2016 trends brought about forever.

[Del Tachi]

That American voters all have brain damage. 

[Hope For A New Era]

Eternal urban/rural and white/nonwhite polarization, to the point that all demographics become nearly political monoliths. A sad state to be in. If trends like this keep up for much longer, there may not even be a USA soon.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Somehow Tennessee was spared from urban/suburban trends so strong that Shelby County, Alabama voted Democratic.  Knox, Hamilton, and Rutherford would all flip long before Shelby, AL.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Somehow Tennessee was spared from urban/suburban trends so strong that Shelby County, Alabama voted Democratic.  Knox, Hamilton, and Rutherford would all flip long before Shelby, AL.

Williamson?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Somehow Tennessee was spared from urban/suburban trends so strong that Shelby County, Alabama voted Democratic.  Knox, Hamilton, and Rutherford would all flip long before Shelby, AL.

Williamson?

Williamson would probably flip before Shelby too, but the other 3 were more egregious to me.

[Person Man]

Eternal urban/rural and white/nonwhite polarization, to the point that all demographics become nearly political monoliths. A sad state to be in. If trends like this keep up for much longer, there may not even be a USA soon.

Maybe if that were to happen, the people in their respective nations would work towards putting food on the table and being safe rather than simply trying to dominate their neighbors with identity politics.

[Camaro33]

The disdain by coastal liberals and city dwellers for "flyover country" grows even more in the next twenty years. Cities continue to grow and push into the suburbs.

It's like the 2016 election on steroids and with current trends.

[Del Tachi]

Somehow Tennessee was spared from urban/suburban trends so strong that Shelby County, Alabama voted Democratic.  Knox, Hamilton, and Rutherford would all flip long before Shelby, AL.

To be fair, 2040 is far enough away that (by then) Birmingham could have become the Deep South's Silicon Valley or something (+5M in the metro, +$50k median personal income) while Nashville and East TN shrivel-up into a mid-century Rust Belt for some reason.

Who knows?

[DINGO Joe]

Somehow Tennessee was spared from urban/suburban trends so strong that Shelby County, Alabama voted Democratic.  Knox, Hamilton, and Rutherford would all flip long before Shelby, AL.

To be fair, 2040 is far enough away that (by then) Birmingham could have become the Deep South's Silicon Valley or something (+5M in the metro, +$50k median personal income) while Nashville and East TN shrivel-up into a mid-century Rust Belt for some reason.

Who knows?

Total collapse of county music

[DINGO Joe]

I guess the University of Iowa has been closed?

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Somehow Tennessee was spared from urban/suburban trends so strong that Shelby County, Alabama voted Democratic.  Knox, Hamilton, and Rutherford would all flip long before Shelby, AL.

To be fair, 2040 is far enough away that (by then) Birmingham could have become the Deep South's Silicon Valley or something (+5M in the metro, +$50k median personal income) while Nashville and East TN shrivel-up into a mid-century Rust Belt for some reason.

Who knows?

5 million people in metro Birmingham? How are you defining it?

[Suburbia]

I find it hard to see Suffolk going Democratic with all the white blue collar Roman Catholic Italian Back the Blue types.

A lot of Italian-American millennials are pro-cop, a lot of them are in the NYPD

[Suburbia]

Could be 2032, 36, 40, 44 whatever, doesn't matter.

What states go blue, which go red? What can be drawn from this map, what demographics are changing, shifting, or moving? Etc.

How many hours did you do on that map? It'd be long.....

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

I find it hard to see Suffolk going Democratic with all the white blue collar Roman Catholic Italian Back the Blue types.

A lot of Italian-American millennials are pro-cop, a lot of them are in the NYPD

Suffolk County "with all the white blue collar Roman Catholic Italian Back the Blue types" voted Obama in 2012.