SC-Gravis: Trump +4 (user search)
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  SC-Gravis: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC-Gravis: Trump +4  (Read 2526 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: July 18, 2020, 11:54:52 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on July 18, 2020, 05:17:06 PM
I don’t understand this polling firm at all.

You don’t understand them ?

I do.

If they are polling privately, they understand the current environment and produce results accordingly.

If they poll for OANN, they behave like a good bitch and bend over to get screwed. Then they take the money.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2020, 12:12:09 AM »
If all the last state polls are somewhat accurate and we look at Microsoft’s 50-state polling right now

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls

... I’m even more interested in a LA poll right now.

MSNs polling seems to be 10-11% too Democratic on average by state, if we look at the actual state polls.

On the other hand, if you subtract the 10-11% bias from the current D+9 in LA, you get just Trump+2.

Which makes it closer than SC or MO ...
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