SC-Gravis: Trump +4 (user search)
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  SC-Gravis: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC-Gravis: Trump +4  (Read 2560 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: July 18, 2020, 07:12:33 PM »

Trump will win South Carolina barring a complete and utter collapse in his poll numbers. Biden would probably have to win by an FDR 1932 or Eisenhower 1956 margin to carry South Carolina. Nevertheless, I can easily see Biden garnering 46%, and Trump winning the state by "only" 6 or 7%. If Trump is carrying South Carolina by a single digit margin, then he is almost certainly losing Georgia, North Carolina, and probably Texas, to say nothing of Arizona and the states in the Upper Midwest.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2020, 08:56:04 PM »

barring a complete and utter collapse in his poll numbers.

Putting aside whether or not Biden can realistically win this state, hasn’t this already happened?


You could say so, but I think it's very likely that Trump recedes even further, especially if coronavirus ravages the South (and the remainder of the country) to the point that hospital systems are under collapse and cases are out of control. Trump is down by a significant margin, but he is not yet at the depths that say, Herbert Hoover, sunk to in 1932.
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