NBC/WSJ Biden +11

[wbrocks67]

The topline seems very normal, but there are more than a few outliers:

- I don't for a second buy that Biden's favorable score somehow plummeted from -1 last month to -12 now, or that his favorability score is nearly in the *20s* and almost as bad as Trumps. Also, 20% don't have any feeling? Was this like a "positive / neutral / negative" thing? If so, normal neutral people may have picked that option? Because that makes no sense whatsoever. He went up in the poll but he's at 34% favorable/positive?

- The GCB... so Biden was up 7 last time and the GCB was 11, but now Biden is 11, and the GCB plummets to 4? Total outlier. Also, I don't like how they ask the question. People are weird, you should ask them about which candidate they will pick, not which party you want to be in control. That could give weird results. The GCB as far as we've seen in the averages and the YouGov weekly polls has been steady as a rock for MONTHS (years), so I don't buy that it would drop that much.

- Also, lastly, it appears that no one is able to properly poll Hispanics this election season. Q-pac has Biden +10. This has Biden +45. One of the YouGov polls had like +30/40 and the other had +10.

[wbrocks67]

Just looked at the poll, and there IS a neutral # for the Positive/Negative question (why not just ask favorable or not favorable like everyone else), though Biden’s very negative # went up this month for some odd reason.

BUT, if you add Neutral to the “Very Positive/Somewhat positive” section, you get this:

Biden: 53/46 (+7)
Trump: 46/54 (-8)

Which seems closer to normal (though Trump’s # still seems way too high)

Biden gets nearly 20% on “neutral” but Trump only 7%, which seems like it should’ve been noted, as many are just ambivalent about Biden but will still vote for him.