Quinnipiac: Biden +15 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac: Biden +15 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Biden +15  (Read 5963 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« on: July 15, 2020, 03:04:27 PM »



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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2020, 03:09:26 PM »

What would the Senate look like if this happened?
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2020, 03:11:17 PM »

I mean, we literally saw NYT and CNN both with +14 leads too, so it's not like this is insanely outlier-ish.

even if it's a bit too rosy, people should've known better than to put stock in all of those low quality online polls over the last few days.

guess we'll see what NBC says at 5pm

Huh? NBC is doing a poll.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2020, 03:14:16 PM »

What would the Senate look like if this happened?

55-45 at the worst (AZ, CO, NC, ME, IA, GA, MT, AK, KS flip), and possibly even more if crazy things like McConnell losing start to happen.

TX would Flip also imo
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #4 on: July 15, 2020, 03:20:23 PM »

What would the Senate look like if this happened?

55-45 at the worst (AZ, CO, NC, ME, IA, GA, MT, AK, KS flip), and possibly even more if crazy things like McConnell losing start to happen.

TX would Flip also imo

I'm curious how far senate candidates will be able to run ahead of the President.

Ticket Splitting is at an all time low. Not to mention that the Senate GOP is tied to the hip with Trump. Biden+15 would reduce them to 41-43 seats.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #5 on: July 15, 2020, 03:29:24 PM »

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

Nah Trump’s ego won’t allow for that. He’s going to take the GOP down with him.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2020, 03:38:50 PM »

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

The GOP would never do that. Despite Trump's poor overall numbers, he still galvanizes a large portion of the base - who would likely sit out if he's replaced.

Trump would literally endorse Biden out of spite if the party ejected him from the nomination.

Stripping him of the nomination would result in a 1912 style disaster.
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