Quinnipiac: Biden +15
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Biden +15  (Read 5986 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: July 15, 2020, 02:36:42 PM »
« edited: July 15, 2020, 03:37:46 PM by Senator YE »
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3666

Biden - 52
Trump - 37

A pretty big outlier, but wow.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2020, 02:37:36 PM »
Lol
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2020, 02:38:24 PM »
Lol
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2020, 02:38:43 PM »
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: July 15, 2020, 02:39:06 PM »
KING JOSEPH

Probably an outlier, but Trump's stance in general is disastrous. But well earned.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #5 on: July 15, 2020, 02:39:09 PM »
Trumps job approval in this poll is 36/60.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2020, 02:41:47 PM »
(Someone has to say this...)

This is in line with the Monmouth poll showing Biden +13 in PA.

[Send post]
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #7 on: July 15, 2020, 02:43:51 PM »
Hey, I still remember when people laughed and wrote off Quinnipiac during the VA GOV race. And they were spot on.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2020, 02:45:43 PM »
« Edited: July 15, 2020, 02:49:52 PM by Lief 🐋 »
B-b-but... Harry Enten and Nate Cohn told me the race was tightening, based on their analysis of Rasmussen and Zogby polls. Cry
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Fargobison
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2020, 02:45:53 PM »
This train has no brakes....
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #10 on: July 15, 2020, 02:46:04 PM »
Quote from: Joshua on July 15, 2020, 02:41:47 PM
(Someone has to say this...)

This is in line with the Monmouth poll showing Biden +13 in PA.

[Send post]

Wow---

Biden numbers look credible as it's not the only recent poll showing Biden in the low 50% range.

Looks like there might be a chunk of undecided Republicans & Republican leaning indies out there that might explain Trump's low numbers... (7% Pubs undecided vs 4% DEMs for example).
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #11 on: July 15, 2020, 02:50:52 PM »
Quote from: Buckhead Kelly on July 15, 2020, 02:43:51 PM
Hey, I still remember when people laughed and wrote off Quinnipiac during the VA GOV race. And they were spot on.

Yeah.  I know we live in an age of extreme polarization, but I am open to the possibility that Biden can win in a landslide.

If we just woke up from a cryogenic sleep and learned that the current president is a racist bigot who has presided over the worst health crisis, job crisis and racial unrest in modern times, and that he was running against a relatively well-liked former Vice President from a relatively well-liked, scandal-free, administration, we would be more shocked that Trump is still getting 37% of the vote, than we are that Biden is up 15%.
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #12 on: July 15, 2020, 02:52:42 PM »
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American2020
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« Reply #13 on: July 15, 2020, 02:53:22 PM »
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Horus
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« Reply #14 on: July 15, 2020, 02:53:33 PM »
Won't matter with Kanye back in the race.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #15 on: July 15, 2020, 03:01:14 PM »
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #16 on: July 15, 2020, 03:02:45 PM »
July 9-13, 2020
1273 registered voters
MoE: 2.8%

Someone else 3%
Would not vote 2%
Undecided/don't know 6%
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WD
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« Reply #17 on: July 15, 2020, 03:04:27 PM »


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Cassandra
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« Reply #18 on: July 15, 2020, 03:05:01 PM »
Is this a reasonable map for a Biden +15 scenario?
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S019
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« Reply #19 on: July 15, 2020, 03:06:05 PM »
Quote from: Cassandra on July 15, 2020, 03:05:01 PM
Is this a reasonable map for a Biden +15 scenario?

1 sec

Yeah, this is fine, maybe MT or KS also fall, or maybe SC doesn't fall, but this is a perfectly fine prediction
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #20 on: July 15, 2020, 03:06:19 PM »
*Opens Atlas meme bag*

SWEET SASSY MOLASSEY!
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Cassandra
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« Reply #21 on: July 15, 2020, 03:07:00 PM »
Quote from: Speaker of the Lincoln Council S019 on July 15, 2020, 03:06:05 PM
Quote from: Cassandra on July 15, 2020, 03:05:01 PM
Is this a reasonable map for a Biden +15 scenario?

1 sec

Please flip AZ, also AK probably falls, as well

Yeah those were oversights, made those changes just now (hence the 1 sec in the post you quoted)
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #22 on: July 15, 2020, 03:08:03 PM »
Now this is what I like to see.
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WD
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« Reply #23 on: July 15, 2020, 03:09:26 PM »
What would the Senate look like if this happened?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #24 on: July 15, 2020, 03:10:12 PM »
I mean, we literally saw NYT and CNN both with +14 leads too, so it's not like this is insanely outlier-ish.

even if it's a bit too rosy, people should've known better than to put stock in all of those low quality online polls over the last few days.

guess we'll see what NBC says at 5pm
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