MT (Civiqs) - Trump +4
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October 20, 2021, 05:14:16 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE)
  MT (Civiqs) - Trump +4
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Author Topic: MT (Civiqs) - Trump +4  (Read 1135 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: July 14, 2020, 07:25:50 AM »
« edited: July 14, 2020, 07:29:32 AM by VARepublican »

Civiqs/Daily Kos
July 11-13
873 RV
MoE: 4.2%

Trump 49%
Biden 45%
Unsure 1%
Someone else 5%

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_MT_banner_book_2020_07_ba6t8k.pdf
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2020, 07:27:10 AM »

No real ticket splitting whatsoever between the four races. Seems like an aberration.
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2020, 07:49:30 AM »

Funny how this poll has a narrower margin for Trump than the PPP one yet Daines leads Bullock.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2020, 07:59:01 AM »

I truly appreciate the low # of undecided/others. Especially after some of their other polls had ridiculous amounts (like KY or SC when it was like 42-42)

Interesting that this has Biden doing even better in prez race, but Bullock doing a little worse. What these two polls tell us though is that MT-Sen is a total tossup with probably a tilt towards Bullock given the environment

Biden being only -4. This and PPP both line up with Trumps internal polling being disastrous
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Reluctant hardcore partisan Darthpi
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« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2020, 11:22:38 AM »

I really don't see it narrowing quite this much from 2016, but it's fun to contemplate what that national map would look like.
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YE
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« Reply #5 on: July 15, 2020, 05:54:48 PM »

Can these MT (and for that matter, AK) polls be entered to the database?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2020, 11:32:02 AM »

Trumpís almost certainly going to win the state, but itíll be within single digits and the +20 margins are a thing of the past.

Can these MT (and for that matter, AK) polls be entered to the database?

I can do it later when I have more time and someone else hasnít entered them by then.
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Reapsow
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« Reply #7 on: July 17, 2020, 12:24:08 PM »

Montana has the second highest percentage of dog owners in America. How can we be sure dogs aren't answering the phones up there, skewing the poll results in favor of Biden? What else does Elizabeth Warren know?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2020, 09:39:36 PM »

New Poll: Montana President by Civiqs on 2020-07-13

Summary: D: 45%, R: 49%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: July 19, 2020, 08:44:38 PM »

Montana has the second highest percentage of dog owners in America. How can we be sure dogs aren't answering the phones up there, skewing the poll results in favor of Biden? What else does Elizabeth Warren know?

Iíd rather those dogs decided the outcome of the Senate + gubernatorial race than Yellowstone County voters (or any place east of I-15, tbh).
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