AZ (OH Predictive Insights): Kelly +9
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  AZ (OH Predictive Insights): Kelly +9
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Author Topic: AZ (OH Predictive Insights): Kelly +9  (Read 1383 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: July 14, 2020, 07:04:36 AM »

Mark Kelly 52
Martha McSally 43

This press release certainly does its best to try and make this seem rosy for McSally.

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2020, 07:06:04 AM »

Mark Kelly 52
Martha McSally 43

This press release certainly does its best to try and make this seem rosy for McSally.



https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200706_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20(AZPOP)%20--%20Senate%20Toplines.pdf

Undecided/unsure 5%
Refused 1%

July 6-7, 2020
600 likely voters
MoE: 4%
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VAR
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2020, 07:09:59 AM »

McSally has no chance.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2020, 07:12:44 AM »

52 is the key number. Sinema never hit that high except in one junky Vox poll that had her up 52-48 with no undecideds. +13 was too high to be believable anyway.
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here2view
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« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2020, 09:16:54 AM »

Blanche McSally
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
JOHN91043353
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« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2020, 09:27:39 AM »


At least Blanche Lincoln won a couple of Senate elections...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2020, 10:05:35 AM »

Money printer go brrrrrrr

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2020, 10:21:46 AM »

Money printer go brrrrrrr



Jesus. For reference, Kelly did $11m 1st Q and McSally did $6.2m.
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Blair
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2020, 10:26:03 AM »

Its the cash of hand number that would worry me if I was a republican... that's pretty insane for someone who isn't an elected offical.
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WD
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2020, 10:35:16 AM »

Jesus $24 million? We joke and meme about Perdue and Daines being unbeatable titans, but Kelly actually is one lol. He will probably win even if Trump carries the state. Where are all the memes about Kelly?
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #10 on: July 14, 2020, 10:51:40 AM »

Jesus $24 million? We joke and meme about Perdue and Daines being unbeatable titans, but Kelly actually is one lol. He will probably win even if Trump carries the state. Where are all the memes about Kelly?

We need the one of Kelly in the suit of armor like the Jacky Rosen one that was posted all over this place in 2018.
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WD
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« Reply #11 on: July 14, 2020, 10:53:47 AM »

Jesus $24 million? We joke and meme about Perdue and Daines being unbeatable titans, but Kelly actually is one lol. He will probably win even if Trump carries the state. Where are all the memes about Kelly?

We need the one of Kelly in the suit of armor like the Jacky Rosen one that was posted all over this place in 2018.

What are you referring to?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #12 on: July 14, 2020, 10:55:35 AM »

Jesus $24 million? We joke and meme about Perdue and Daines being unbeatable titans, but Kelly actually is one lol. He will probably win even if Trump carries the state. Where are all the memes about Kelly?

Yup, seems like the dude is spectacular candidate. I think he has a good chance to get reelected in the regular 2022 election even in a Biden midterm. Especially now with Ducey facing criticism over his handling of the pandemic.
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Blair
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« Reply #13 on: July 14, 2020, 11:56:05 AM »

and of course people forget that candidiates get much cheaper airtime & do much better with well funded campaigns (the irony of the super-pac age is that a lot of candidates run barebones operations which pray that TV ads will save them)

This also allows money to be shifted elsewhere; and makes the republicans wonder how much is worth sinking in?
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #14 on: July 14, 2020, 12:47:52 PM »

Jesus $24 million? We joke and meme about Perdue and Daines being unbeatable titans, but Kelly actually is one lol. He will probably win even if Trump carries the state. Where are all the memes about Kelly?

Ask & you shall receive:

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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: July 14, 2020, 01:01:59 PM »

McSally wants you all to know that she’s totally not down by double digits, but high single digits, and that’s very very different!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: July 14, 2020, 02:57:47 PM »

Good for Mark Kelly but polls in SC, KS need to be polled more
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Panda Express
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« Reply #17 on: July 16, 2020, 07:25:08 AM »

These anti-Kelly ads in Arizona are among the worst in the country.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnlGh6iFR9w
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FlyoverCoast
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« Reply #18 on: July 16, 2020, 09:04:57 AM »

Will Kelly give some money to the DSCC for more competitive senate races? Or is this a one-in-the-hand-is-better-than-two-in-the-bush situation?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #19 on: July 16, 2020, 10:41:34 AM »

These anti-Kelly ads in Arizona are among the worst in the country.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnlGh6iFR9w

wow, that is just an objectively bad ad lol
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #20 on: July 16, 2020, 11:16:23 AM »

Will Kelly give some money to the DSCC for more competitive senate races? Or is this a one-in-the-hand-is-better-than-two-in-the-bush situation?

He probably keeps the money on the bank because if elected, he has to run another race in 2 years. The environment may be less comfortable if Biden is elected prez.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #21 on: July 16, 2020, 10:37:17 PM »

Will Kelly give some money to the DSCC for more competitive senate races? Or is this a one-in-the-hand-is-better-than-two-in-the-bush situation?

He probably keeps the money on the bank because if elected, he has to run another race in 2 years. The environment may be less comfortable if Biden is elected prez.

No it wont Ducey is unpopular now due to Covid 19
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #22 on: July 18, 2020, 10:09:03 PM »

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by OH Predictive Insights on 2020-07-07

Summary: D: 52%, R: 43%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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