MO-Saint Louis Uni/YouGov: Trump +7
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  MO-Saint Louis Uni/YouGov: Trump +7
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Author Topic: MO-Saint Louis Uni/YouGov: Trump +7  (Read 1819 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« on: July 13, 2020, 09:55:51 AM »

Trump: 50%
Biden: 43%

https://t.co/SKABVH9CoL
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
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« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2020, 09:56:33 AM »

How about lets get some polls from actually competitive states today?
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WD
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« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2020, 09:57:33 AM »

This election isn’t going to be close...
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Astatine
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« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2020, 09:58:06 AM »
« Edited: July 13, 2020, 10:01:32 AM by Astatine »

Why do they waste their time by polling MO at presidential level and not MO-02 House race or at least MO gubernatorial race?

Okay, they polled MO Gov, didn't see that, was on a separate page on their site.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2020, 10:00:26 AM »

Why do they waste their time by polling MO at presidential level and not MO-02 or at least MO gubernatorial race?

They did poll the governor race.

Parsons 41-39% over Galloway.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2020, 10:05:38 AM »

Yet another poll that's consistent with a low double-digit national lead for Biden.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: July 13, 2020, 10:06:17 AM »

Why do they waste their time by polling MO at presidential level and not MO-02 or at least MO gubernatorial race?

They did poll the governor race.

Parsons 41-39% over Galloway.

That's the more shocking result here! Of course the undecideds probably lean R, but Galloway seems like she's been slowly chipping away at his lead and Parsons being at 41% is not a great sign for him.

Meanwhile, Trump +7 here would be a 12% shift from 2016, similar to the MT poll being an 11% shift, which would equal out to a Biden 10-14% lead nationwide
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #7 on: July 13, 2020, 10:07:38 AM »

How about lets get some polls from actually competitive states today?

To be fair, Montana has incredibly competitive Senate, gubernatorial and House races.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: July 13, 2020, 10:08:35 AM »

Let me just make this point again: YouGov is horrible at polling Independents. They are also R-leaning for some reason in every one of their polls.

McCaskill lost Indies by only 5 in 2018. Biden is losing them by 15 here.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: July 13, 2020, 10:20:16 AM »

Why do they waste their time by polling MO at presidential level and not MO-02 House race or at least MO gubernatorial race?

Okay, they polled MO Gov, didn't see that, was on a separate page on their site.

Because Saint Louis University is in Missouri and they are interested to see what the Presidential race is looking like in their state?
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #10 on: July 13, 2020, 10:24:09 AM »



Another thing I found very interesting-- white evangelicals, who are 45% of Missouri's population, went from 85-10 Trump in 2016 to 75-20 Trump. That's a massive swing.
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Gracile
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« Reply #11 on: July 13, 2020, 10:25:43 AM »

How about lets get some polls from actually competitive states today?

The Montana poll was largely done because it had a competitive Senate race.
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BobbieMac
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« Reply #12 on: July 13, 2020, 10:36:48 AM »

Biden +14 nationally on UNS.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #13 on: July 13, 2020, 10:56:25 AM »

Yet another piece of data showing that, as of now at least, this election is not close.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #14 on: July 13, 2020, 11:20:53 AM »

So Trump support is weak in Missouri. He does hit 50... as a general rule the undecided drift ineffectively toward the eventual loser, so maybe 52-47 for Trump?

How has Missouri responded to COVID-19?
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #15 on: July 13, 2020, 11:35:16 AM »

This would probably be good enough to flip MO-2
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #16 on: July 13, 2020, 11:40:36 AM »

Even if this underrates Trump by 7, which I think is possible, Biden+8
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #17 on: July 13, 2020, 11:48:26 AM »

MoE: 3.95%
June 23-July 1
900 likely voters

Other 4%
Unsure 4%
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #18 on: July 13, 2020, 11:53:47 AM »

So Trump support is weak in Missouri. He does hit 50... as a general rule the undecided drift ineffectively toward the eventual loser, so maybe 52-47 for Trump?

How has Missouri responded to COVID-19?
Like virtually all other red states that spent more time decrying it as a hoax as opposed to actually following the science and attempting to stop the spread, incompetently. Our face mask mandate in Cape Girardeau County just went into effect today. We have 329 confirmed cases here but only three deaths.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #19 on: July 13, 2020, 06:12:25 PM »

I'm way more interested in the gubernatorial race here than the presidential one if Galloway does indeed look to be within two points of Parson, then again there are probably too many undecideds.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #20 on: July 18, 2020, 09:44:10 PM »

New Poll: Missouri President by YouGov on 2020-07-01

Summary: D: 43%, R: 50%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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