MT (PPP): Bullock +2 (user search)

Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,714

« on: July 13, 2020, 09:56:35 AM »

Pure tossup. Bullock probably ends up being the best recruit for Dems in the 2020 cycle. I think this race as a 50/50 chance for either side.

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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,714

« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2020, 10:34:24 AM »

Pure tossup. Bullock probably ends up being the best recruit for Dems in the 2020 cycle. I think this race as a 50/50 chance for either side.

In a midterm year I would agree but I still give Daines the slight edge.

Bullock won in a presidential year twice and turnout this year will be higher than 2018 and not less of a Dem wave year. Possibly even more.

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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,714

« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2020, 10:51:07 AM »

Pure tossup. Bullock probably ends up being the best recruit for Dems in the 2020 cycle. I think this race as a 50/50 chance for either side.

In a midterm year I would agree but I still give Daines the slight edge.

Bullock won in a presidential year twice and turnout this year will be higher than 2018 and not less of a Dem wave year. Possibly even more.

Technically MT turnout in 2018 was higher than 2016.

2020 will be more like 2018 in terms of energy, though.

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